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Fortaleza vs CRB - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Castelão, Fortaleza
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fortaleza host CRB in the Serie B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Fortaleza at 1.24 goals for, 1 against; CRB at 1.57 for, 1.29 against. Head-to-head, Fortaleza have won 1 to CRB's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.19, favoring CRB. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Fortaleza
30%
Draws
28%
CRB
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fortaleza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Fortaleza haven't matched CRB's recent run of results.
  • Fortaleza are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fortaleza Clean Sheet 20%
CRB Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortaleza CRB
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 14 15
Draws 10 5
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.24 1.57
Goals Conceded 1 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Serie B
CRB vs Fortaleza
1:1
May 14, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
CRB vs Fortaleza
0:0
Apr 22, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil
Fortaleza vs CRB
2:1
Mar 27, 2025 Copa do Nordeste
Fortaleza vs CRB
0:1
Jun 9, 2024 Copa do Nordeste
CRB vs Fortaleza
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortaleza 42 / 100
CRB 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortaleza CRB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortaleza went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Fortaleza found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

CRB's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Fortaleza VS CRB
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortaleza

(Home)
03 Oct
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Nautico
27 Sept
Fortaleza
2 : 2
Athletic Club
20 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2
Fortaleza
13 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Ceara
09 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 0
Avai
Page 1 of 7

CRB

(Away)
02 Oct
Sao Bernardo
3 : 1
CRB
27 Sept
CRB
3 : 0
Cuiaba
20 Sept
Ponte Preta
1 : 0
CRB
16 Sept
CRB
2 : 1
Sport Recife
09 Sept
Operario-PR
3 : 0
CRB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 31 17 6 8 44:31 57
2 EC Juventude 31 16 8 7 35:19 56
3 Novorizontino 31 15 9 7 52:27 54
4 Criciuma 31 15 8 8 33:27 53
5 Fortaleza 31 14 11 6 36:27 53
6 Atletico GO 31 14 10 7 39:27 52
7 CRB 31 14 6 11 46:44 48
8 Operario-PR 31 13 9 9 43:41 48
9 Sport Recife 31 12 11 8 42:33 47
10 Cuiaba 31 11 13 7 32:25 46
11 Sao Bernardo 31 12 9 10 43:32 45
12 Goias 31 12 6 13 30:39 42
13 Nautico 31 11 9 11 39:38 42
14 Athletic Club 31 10 12 9 37:35 42
15 Ceara 31 10 9 12 34:39 39
16 Botafogo SP 31 9 8 14 34:37 35
17 Avai 31 8 6 17 30:42 30
18 Londrina 31 7 7 17 39:45 28
19 America MG 31 4 5 22 21:52 17
20 Ponte Preta 31 3 4 24 17:66 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)