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Fortaleza vs Londrina

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Castelão, Fortaleza
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Matheus Rossetto
29'
Britez E.
36' Event
Vitinho
Assist: Matheus Rossetto

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Fortaleza and Londrina finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fortaleza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Fortaleza
30%
Draws
34%
Londrina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fortaleza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fortaleza come out ahead of Londrina on wins alone.
  • Model gives Fortaleza a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Fortaleza have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Fortaleza Clean Sheet 16%
Londrina Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortaleza Londrina
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Serie B
Fortaleza vs Londrina
3:0
Aug 25, 2018 Serie B
Fortaleza vs Londrina
2:1
May 1, 2018 Serie B
Londrina vs Fortaleza
1:1
Jul 6, 2004 Serie B
Londrina vs Fortaleza
1:2
Aug 31, 2002 Serie B
Fortaleza vs Londrina
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fortaleza Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucca Prior
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Londrina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortaleza 36 / 100
Londrina 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortaleza Londrina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortaleza scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Londrina conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Fortaleza went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fortaleza VS Londrina
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortaleza

(Home)
29 Jul
Fortaleza
1 : 0
Botafogo SP
22 Jul
Vila Nova FC
2 : 1
Fortaleza
18 Jul
Fortaleza
1 : 0
Novorizontino
12 Jul
Atletico GO
1 : 0
Fortaleza
03 Jul
Fortaleza
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
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Londrina

(Away)
26 Jul
Londrina
1 : 4
Novorizontino
23 Jul
Nautico
2 : 1
Londrina
18 Jul
Londrina
0 : 0
Botafogo SP
13 Jul
America MG
1 : 1
Londrina
04 Jul
Londrina
5 : 0
CRB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma20117223:1240
2EC Juventude20105522:1235
3Operario-PR20105528:2535
4Fortaleza20104623:1934
5Vila Nova FC20104627:2434
6Novorizontino2096532:1933
7Atletico GO2087523:2031
8CRB2085731:3229
9Goias2085721:2629
10Sport Recife20611325:1929
11Athletic Club20610419:1828
12Sao Bernardo2076728:2327
13Nautico2074924:2425
14Cuiaba20510515:1525
15Botafogo SP2066824:2124
16Ceara2057820:2522
17Londrina20551027:3120
18Avai20551021:2720
19America MG20251314:3111
20Ponte Preta20231515:399
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)