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Fortaleza vs Quixada

Brazil Brazil

Cearense Estadio Presidente Vargas, Fortaleza
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Santos S.
Own Goal
27'
Cardona T.
30' Event
Pochettino T.

AI Match Summary

The Cearense game between Fortaleza and Quixada finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fortaleza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Fortaleza
20%
Draws
17%
Quixada
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fortaleza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fortaleza come out ahead of Quixada on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Fortaleza's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Cearense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Fortaleza Clean Sheet 68%
Quixada Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortaleza Quixada
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 17 16
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.23 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2026 Cearense
Fortaleza vs Quixada
4:0
Jan 28, 2015 Cearense
Fortaleza vs Quixada
0:0
Jan 14, 2015 Cearense
Quixada vs Fortaleza
0:0
Jan 30, 2014 Cearense
Fortaleza vs Quixada
4:2
Jan 5, 2014 Cearense
Quixada vs Fortaleza
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fortaleza Compare

Top Goalscorer Pochettino T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Queiroz K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Quixada Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortaleza 95 / 100
Quixada 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortaleza Quixada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortaleza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortaleza's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Solid form: Fortaleza remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Quixada lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fortaleza VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortaleza

(Home)
27 Sept
Fortaleza
2 : 2
Athletic Club
20 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2
Fortaleza
13 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Ceara
09 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 0
Avai
05 Sept
Goias
0 : 1
Fortaleza
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Quixada

(Away)
09 Feb
Quixada
1 : 3
Maranguape
04 Feb
Maracana
2 : 3
Quixada
29 Jan
Quixada
0 : 1
Tirol
22 Jan
Quixada
1 : 2
Ferroviario
15 Jan
Fortaleza
4 : 0
Quixada
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortaleza 4 3 1 0 6:0 10
2 Ferroviario 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Horizonte 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
4 Quixada 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
5 Maracana 4 0 0 4 1:5 0
Promotion - Cearense (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cearense (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
2 Floresta EC 4 2 1 1 6:2 7
3 Iguatu 4 1 3 0 4:2 6
4 Maranguape 4 1 0 3 1:6 3
5 Tirol 4 0 1 3 1:7 1
Promotion - Cearense (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cearense (Relegation Group)