Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fortaleza W vs Bucaramanga W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Puertas K.
46'
Sub
Siso K. In: Padilla Y.
Out: Siso K.
46' Event
Rodriguez S.
Assist: Padilla Y.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Women game between Fortaleza W and Bucaramanga W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fortaleza W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Fortaleza W
20%
Draws
42%
Bucaramanga W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bucaramanga W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Fortaleza W's 0.83 goals per match outpaces what Bucaramanga W have produced (0.67).
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Fortaleza W Clean Sheet 20%
Bucaramanga W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortaleza W Bucaramanga W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 0.83 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Liga Women
Fortaleza W vs Bucaramanga W
2:1
Apr 7, 2025 Liga Women
Fortaleza W vs Bucaramanga W
1:1
May 7, 2022 Liga Women
Bucaramanga W vs Fortaleza W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fortaleza W Compare

Top Goalscorer Puertas K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arcila A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Bucaramanga W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortaleza W 32 / 100
Bucaramanga W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortaleza W Bucaramanga W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bucaramanga W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Fortaleza W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Fortaleza W found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Fortaleza W VS Bucaramanga W
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortaleza W

(Home)
20 Aug
Indep. Santa Fe W
4 : 4
Fortaleza W
31 Jul
Fortaleza W
1 : 0
Ind. Medellin W
27 Jul
Inter Bogotá W
1 : 0
Fortaleza W
29 May
Fortaleza W
2 : 1
Bucaramanga W
24 May
Junior W
0 : 0
Fortaleza W
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Bucaramanga W

(Away)
20 Aug
Bucaramanga W
2 : 1
Once Caldas W
03 Aug
Junior W
0 : 1
Bucaramanga W
25 Jul
Bucaramanga W
3 : 0
Llaneros W
29 May
Fortaleza W
2 : 1
Bucaramanga W
20 May
Bucaramanga W
1 : 4
Dep. Cali W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional W 16 13 0 3 34:9 39
2 Dep. Cali W 16 12 2 2 33:10 38
3 Millonarios W 16 10 5 1 32:8 35
4 America de Cali W 16 11 2 3 29:8 35
5 Inter Bogotá W 16 9 2 5 22:14 29
6 Indep. Santa Fe W 16 7 5 4 27:15 26
7 Inter Palmira W 16 7 5 4 15:17 26
8 Orsomarso W 16 5 7 4 18:14 22
9 Ind. Medellin W 16 6 1 9 21:22 19
10 Fortaleza W 16 4 5 7 14:23 17
11 Bucaramanga W 16 5 2 9 15:34 17
12 Llaneros W 16 3 4 9 11:33 13
13 Junior W 16 2 6 8 12:24 12
14 Real Santander W 16 1 7 8 4:22 10
15 Once Caldas W 16 1 5 10 7:25 8
16 Dep. Pasto W 16 1 4 11 12:28 7
Promotion - Liga Women (Promotion Group)