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Fortaleza W vs Ceara W Prediction & H2H Stats

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Cearense Women
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AI Match Summary

Fortaleza W in this Cearense Women matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fortaleza W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Fortaleza W
15%
Draws
16%
Ceara W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fortaleza W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fortaleza W lately — more wins on the board than Ceara W.
  • Model gives Fortaleza W a 69% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cearense Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Fortaleza W Clean Sheet 20%
Ceara W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortaleza W Ceara W
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 20 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 3 18
Goals Scored 5.7 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.53 1.49
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2025 Cearense Women
Fortaleza W vs Ceara W
1:0
Nov 21, 2025 Cearense Women
Ceara W vs Fortaleza W
0:0
Nov 1, 2025 Cearense Women
Fortaleza W vs Ceara W
2:0
Oct 16, 2025 Cearense Women
Ceara W vs Fortaleza W
1:1
Nov 23, 2024 Cearense Women
Fortaleza W vs Ceara W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortaleza W 85 / 100
Ceara W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortaleza W Ceara W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortaleza W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fortaleza W scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Fortaleza W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Ceara W conceded in 77% of 35 recent games.

Ceara W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fortaleza W VS Ceara W
3.33 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
33% Over 1.5 38%
33% Over 2.5 25%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortaleza W

(Home)
25 Nov
Fortaleza W
1 : 0
Ceara W
21 Nov
Ceara W
0 : 0
Fortaleza W
16 Nov
Fortaleza W
9 : 0
Hiroos Cariri W
08 Nov
Hiroos Cariri W
0 : 21
Fortaleza W
03 Nov
CE Sao Goncalo do Amarante W
0 : 17
Fortaleza W
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Ceara W

(Away)
08 Aug
Ceara W
0 : 3
Sport Recife W
01 Aug
Vila Nova FC W
1 : 0
Ceara W
25 Jul
Minas Brasilia W
4 : 0
Ceara W
12 Jul
Ceara W
2 : 1
3B da Amazonia W
31 May
Ceara W
0 : 2
Vasco W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortaleza W 6 5 1 0 50:1 16
2 Ceara W 6 4 1 1 31:6 13
3 CE Sao Goncalo do Amarante W 6 2 0 4 10:43 6
4 The Blessed W 6 0 0 6 3:44 0
Promotion - Cearense Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 R4 EC W 2 2 0 0 17:0 6
2 Hiroos Cariri W 2 0 0 2 0:17 0
3 Movimenta W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Cearense Women (Play Offs)