Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fortaleza W vs Ceara W

Brazil Brazil

Cearense Women
Tue, Nov 25, 2025
1 - 0
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Fortaleza W
15%
Draws
16%
Ceara W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fortaleza W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Ceara W haven't matched Fortaleza W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Fortaleza W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Fortaleza W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fortaleza W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Fortaleza W Clean Sheet 68%
Ceara W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortaleza W Ceara W
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 20 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 3 17
Goals Scored 5.7 1.71
Goals Conceded 0.53 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2025 Cearense Women
Fortaleza W vs Ceara W
1:0
Nov 21, 2025 Cearense Women
Ceara W vs Fortaleza W
0:0
Nov 1, 2025 Cearense Women
Fortaleza W vs Ceara W
2:0
Oct 16, 2025 Cearense Women
Ceara W vs Fortaleza W
1:1
Nov 23, 2024 Cearense Women
Fortaleza W vs Ceara W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortaleza W 95 / 100
Ceara W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortaleza W Ceara W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortaleza W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortaleza W's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Fortaleza W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Ceara W let in goals in 74% of their last 35 matches.

Ceara W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fortaleza W VS Ceara W
3.33 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
33% Over 1.5 38%
33% Over 2.5 25%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortaleza W

(Home)
25 Nov
Fortaleza W
1 : 0
Ceara W
21 Nov
Ceara W
0 : 0
Fortaleza W
16 Nov
Fortaleza W
9 : 0
Hiroos Cariri W
08 Nov
Hiroos Cariri W
0 : 21
Fortaleza W
03 Nov
CE Sao Goncalo do Amarante W
0 : 17
Fortaleza W
Page 1 of 6

Ceara W

(Away)
08 Aug
Ceara W
0 : 3
Sport Recife W
01 Aug
Vila Nova FC W
1 : 0
Ceara W
25 Jul
Minas Brasilia W
4 : 0
Ceara W
12 Jul
Ceara W
2 : 1
3B da Amazonia W
31 May
Ceara W
0 : 2
Vasco W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Fortaleza W 30
Hiroos Cariri W 0
R4 EC W 1
Ceara W 4
Final
Fortaleza W 1
Ceara W 0