Sport Picks
Fortaleza W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
Colombia
Liga Women 2025 Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá 
Match Events
3'
3'
Mosquera H.
Assist: Robayo L.
9'
9'
Diaz I.
20'
20'
Perez A.
Assist: Hernandez K.
AI Match Summary
Indep. Santa Fe W in this Liga Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Indep. Santa Fe W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Indep. Santa Fe W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Indep. Santa Fe W lately — more wins on the board than Fortaleza W.
- Win probability leans Indep. Santa Fe W's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Indep. Santa Fe W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Fortaleza W Clean Sheet 17%
Indep. Santa Fe W Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fortaleza W | Indep. Santa Fe W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 35 |
| Wins | 5 | 18 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.5 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.50 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 20, 2025 Liga Women
Fortaleza W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
1:6
Mar 10, 2022 Liga Women
Fortaleza W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
0:1
Aug 12, 2021 Liga Women
Fortaleza W vs Indep. Santa Fe W
2:3
Jul 17, 2021 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Fortaleza W
2:0
Nov 12, 2020 Liga Women
Indep. Santa Fe W vs Fortaleza W
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fortaleza W Compare
Top Goalscorer Bohorquez S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25
Indep. Santa Fe W Compare
Top Goalscorer Rojas N.
2 Goals Assists Leader Mosquera H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fortaleza W 10 / 100
Indep. Santa Fe W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fortaleza W Indep. Santa Fe W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Fortaleza W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Fortaleza W's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Indep. Santa Fe W let in goals in 49% of their last 35 matches.
Scoring Trends
Fortaleza W VS Indep. Santa Fe W
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Fortaleza W
(Home) 29 May
Fortaleza W
2 : 1 Bucaramanga W
24 May
Junior W
0 : 0 Fortaleza W
15 May
Fortaleza W
0 : 3 Millonarios W
10 May
Dep. Pasto W
1 : 2 Fortaleza W
03 May
Fortaleza W
0 : 2 Inter Bogotá W
Page 1 of 6
29 May
Fortaleza W
2 : 1 Bucaramanga W
15 May
Fortaleza W
0 : 3 Millonarios W
03 May
Fortaleza W
0 : 2 Inter Bogotá W
03 Apr
Fortaleza W
0 : 1 America de Cali W
24 Mar
Fortaleza W
0 : 0 Real Santander W
Page 1 of 3
Indep. Santa Fe W
(Away) 28 May
Llaneros W
1 : 4 Indep. Santa Fe W
23 May
Inter Palmira W
0 : 2 Indep. Santa Fe W
17 May
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 0 Ind. Medellin W
11 May
Junior W
1 : 1 Indep. Santa Fe W
03 May
Indep. Santa Fe W
0 : 0 Millonarios W
Page 1 of 7
28 May
Llaneros W
1 : 4 Indep. Santa Fe W
23 May
Inter Palmira W
0 : 2 Indep. Santa Fe W
11 May
Junior W
1 : 1 Indep. Santa Fe W
26 Apr
Dep. Pasto W
0 : 0 Indep. Santa Fe W
28 Mar
America de Cali W
1 : 2 Indep. Santa Fe W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dep. Cali W | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 35:7 | 38 |
| 2 | Indep. Santa Fe W | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 32:12 | 35 |
| 3 | Atl. Nacional W | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 22:10 | 29 |
| 4 | Ind. Medellin W | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24:14 | 29 |
| 5 | Inter Palmira W | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19:18 | 27 |
| 6 | America de Cali W | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:13 | 26 |
| 7 | Orsomarso W | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 23:14 | 25 |
| 8 | Millonarios W | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 9 | Inter Bogotá W | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 14:9 | 24 |
| 10 | Dep. Pasto W | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21:17 | 23 |
| 11 | Junior W | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21:37 | 14 |
| 12 | Real Santander W | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9:18 | 13 |
| 13 | Once Caldas W | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12:23 | 12 |
| 14 | Alianza W | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 15:37 | 10 |
| 15 | Fortaleza W | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12:37 | 10 |
| 16 | Bucaramanga W | 16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 5:22 | 9 |
Promotion - Liga Women 2025 (Promotion Group)