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Fortaleza W vs Itacoatiara W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A2 Women 2025
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Match Events

18' Event
Natalinha
25'
Goncalves L.
33' Event
Jhow

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro A2 Women 2025 game between Fortaleza W and Itacoatiara W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fortaleza W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Fortaleza W
20%
Draws
6%
Itacoatiara W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fortaleza W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Itacoatiara W haven't matched Fortaleza W's recent run of results.
  • 74% — that's where the model lands on Fortaleza W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Fortaleza W Clean Sheet 68%
Itacoatiara W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortaleza W Itacoatiara W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 5
Draws 7 3
Losses 3 22
Goals Scored 5.7 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.53 3.23
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Brasileiro A2 Women
Fortaleza W vs Itacoatiara W
3:0
May 5, 2024 Brasileiro A2 Women
Itacoatiara W vs Fortaleza W
2:1
Apr 16, 2023 Brasileiro A2 Women
Itacoatiara W vs Fortaleza W
0:1
Jun 6, 2021 Brasileiro A2 Women
Itacoatiara W vs Fortaleza W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fortaleza W Compare

Top Goalscorer Natalinha
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jhow
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Itacoatiara W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortaleza W 95 / 100
Itacoatiara W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortaleza W Itacoatiara W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortaleza W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortaleza W scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Itacoatiara W let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Fortaleza W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Fortaleza W VS Itacoatiara W
7.75 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortaleza W

(Home)
25 Nov
Fortaleza W
1 : 0
Ceara W
21 Nov
Ceara W
0 : 0
Fortaleza W
16 Nov
Fortaleza W
9 : 0
Hiroos Cariri W
08 Nov
Hiroos Cariri W
0 : 21
Fortaleza W
03 Nov
CE Sao Goncalo do Amarante W
0 : 17
Fortaleza W
Page 1 of 6

Itacoatiara W

(Away)
08 Aug
Itacoatiara W
0 : 18
Atletico-PI W
01 Aug
Itabirito W
9 : 0
Itacoatiara W
25 Jul
Itacoatiara W
0 : 4
3B da Amazonia W
30 May
Perolas Negras W
2 : 2
Itacoatiara W
27 May
Mauaense W
3 : 0
Itacoatiara W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos W 7 6 1 0 17:2 19
2 Botafogo RJ W 7 5 1 1 13:5 16
3 Atletico-MG W 7 3 2 2 15:4 11
4 Minas Brasilia W 7 3 2 2 8:10 11
5 Taubate W 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
6 Vasco W 7 2 1 4 10:9 7
7 Avai Kindermann W 7 2 0 5 11:12 6
8 Sao Jose W 7 0 0 7 1:32 0
Relegation - Brasileiro A3 Women (Main)
Promotion - Brasileiro A2 Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortaleza W 7 4 3 0 20:4 15
2 Vitoria W 7 4 2 1 11:6 14
3 Mixto W 7 3 4 0 15:8 13
4 Acao W 7 3 2 2 11:7 11
5 Itacoatiara W 7 2 2 3 10:16 8
6 Paysandu PA W 7 1 3 3 9:14 6
7 Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W 7 1 3 3 9:17 6
8 Remo W 7 0 1 6 6:19 1
Relegation - Brasileiro A3 Women (Main)
Promotion - Brasileiro A2 Women 2025 (Play Offs)