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Forte Taganrog vs Alania 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2024 Forte Arena, Taganrog
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Match Events

8' Event
Grechkin A.
12' Event
Abakarov M.
27' Event
Panchenko A.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2024 game between Forte Taganrog and Alania 2 finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Forte Taganrog.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Forte Taganrog
20%
Draws
0%
Alania 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Forte Taganrog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Forte Taganrog carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Forte Taganrog taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Forte Taganrog here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Forte Taganrog Clean Sheet 11%
Alania 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forte Taganrog Alania 2
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 1.68 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 3.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Forte Taganrog vs Alania 2
6:0
Mar 30, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Alania 2 vs Forte Taganrog
3:5
Nov 4, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 1
Alania 2 vs Forte Taganrog
1:6
Aug 14, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 1
Forte Taganrog vs Alania 2
5:0
Jun 5, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 1
Alania 2 vs Forte Taganrog
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forte Taganrog Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolmakov M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Grechkin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.65
Avg xA / game 1.72

Alania 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forte Taganrog 83 / 100
Alania 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forte Taganrog Alania 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forte Taganrog Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alania 2 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Alania 2 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Forte Taganrog scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Forte Taganrog VS Alania 2
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 6
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Forte Taganrog

(Home)
15 Jun
FC Murom
3 : 1
Forte Taganrog
07 Jun
Forte Taganrog
2 : 3
Kirov
31 May
Sibir Novosibirsk
2 : 2
Forte Taganrog
25 May
Kaluga
2 : 0
Forte Taganrog
21 May
Forte Taganrog
0 : 0
Irtysh Omsk
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Alania 2

(Away)
16 Nov
KDV Tomsk
6 : 2
Alania 2
09 Nov
Rubin Yalta
3 : 1
Alania 2
26 Oct
Alania 2
0 : 1
Angust Nazran
19 Oct
Maykop
3 : 0
Alania 2
12 Oct
Alania 2
0 : 5
Nart Cherkessk
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Forte Taganrog 32 22 5 5 68:30 71
2 Rubin Yalta 32 20 4 8 48:26 64
3 Dynamo Stavropol 32 18 9 5 54:31 63
4 Legion Makhachkala 32 18 6 8 57:26 60
5 Rostov 2 32 19 3 10 57:33 60
6 FC Sevastopol 32 17 7 8 47:30 58
7 KDV Tomsk 32 13 9 10 44:34 48
8 Astrakhan 32 14 5 13 40:42 47
9 Nart Cherkessk 32 13 5 14 43:47 44
10 Maykop 32 13 3 16 41:42 42
11 Angust Nazran 32 8 14 10 22:27 38
12 Kuban Kholding 32 9 10 13 29:37 37
13 Spartak Nalchik 32 10 7 15 47:50 37
14 FK Pobeda 32 7 9 16 36:49 30
15 Biolog 32 8 6 18 41:56 30
16 Alania 2 32 4 5 23 24:87 17
17 Dynamo Makhachkala 2 32 3 5 24 19:70 14
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 (Fall Season)