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Forte Taganrog vs Yessentuki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Lavrishchev D.
17' Event
Muromskiy N.
19' Event
Lavrishchev D.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Group 1 game between Forte Taganrog and Yessentuki finished 15-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Forte Taganrog.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Forte Taganrog
20%
Draws
0%
Yessentuki
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Forte Taganrog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Forte Taganrog come out ahead of Yessentuki on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Forte Taganrog's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Forte Taganrog here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Forte Taganrog Clean Sheet 19%
Yessentuki Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forte Taganrog Yessentuki
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 1
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 26
Goals Scored 1.94 0.33
Goals Conceded 1.47 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2023 FNL 2 - Group 1
Forte Taganrog vs Yessentuki
15:0
Sep 30, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 1
Yessentuki vs Forte Taganrog
0:1
Apr 18, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 1
Yessentuki vs Forte Taganrog
2:3
Sep 18, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Forte Taganrog vs Yessentuki
6:0
May 16, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Forte Taganrog vs Yessentuki
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forte Taganrog Compare

Top Goalscorer Lavrishchev D.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Muromskiy N.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Yessentuki Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forte Taganrog 85 / 100
Yessentuki 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forte Taganrog Yessentuki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forte Taganrog Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Yessentuki conceded in 93% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Yessentuki lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Forte Taganrog's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Forte Taganrog VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Forte Taganrog

(Home)
15 Jun
FC Murom
3 : 1
Forte Taganrog
07 Jun
Forte Taganrog
2 : 3
Kirov
31 May
Sibir Novosibirsk
2 : 2
Forte Taganrog
25 May
Kaluga
2 : 0
Forte Taganrog
21 May
Forte Taganrog
0 : 0
Irtysh Omsk
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Yessentuki

(Away)
29 Apr
Yessentuki
:
Biolog
22 Apr
R. Volgograd
:
Yessentuki
14 Apr
Yessentuki
:
Spartak Nalchik
08 Apr
Forte Taganrog
15 : 0
Yessentuki
31 Mar
Yessentuki
0 : 3
Mashuk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chernomorets Novorossijsk 26 19 6 1 56:18 63
2 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 26 16 7 3 40:10 55
3 R. Volgograd 26 15 7 4 47:19 52
4 Biolog 26 13 7 6 35:24 46
5 Forte Taganrog 26 12 9 5 52:22 45
6 Kuban Kholding 26 12 6 8 43:29 42
7 Spartak Nalchik 26 10 7 9 36:30 37
8 Maykop 26 10 5 11 28:31 35
9 SKA Rostov-on-Don 26 9 7 10 26:31 34
10 Dynamo Stavropol 26 7 10 9 27:38 31
11 Legion Makhachkala 26 5 6 15 29:43 21
12 Mashuk 26 5 6 15 27:47 21
13 Alania 2 26 2 7 17 21:53 13
14 Yessentuki 26 1 2 23 7:79 5
Promotion - FNL 2 - Group 1 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Group 1 (Relegation Group)