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Fortis Juventus vs Bellaria Igea

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fortis Juventus play Bellaria Igea in the Serie D - Group D 2015/2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Fortis Juventus averaged 0.7 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Bellaria Igea averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Fortis Juventus won 1, Bellaria Igea won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 3, 2016 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Fortis Juventus and 1.94 for Bellaria Igea. This points to a Bellaria Igea double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Fortis Juventus
26%
Draws
55%
Bellaria Igea
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Bellaria Igea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Fortis Juventus picked up more points recently compared to Bellaria Igea.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Fortis Juventus Clean Sheet 10%
Bellaria Igea Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortis Juventus Bellaria Igea
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 0 5
Draws 7 9
Losses 23 16
Goals Scored 0.7 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2016 Serie D - Group D
Fortis Juventus vs Bellaria Igea
2:3
Nov 15, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Bellaria Igea vs Fortis Juventus
2:2
Jan 18, 2015 Serie D - Group D
Bellaria Igea vs Fortis Juventus
2:0
Sep 14, 2014 Serie D - Group D
Fortis Juventus vs Bellaria Igea
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortis Juventus 19 / 100
Bellaria Igea 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortis Juventus Bellaria Igea

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bellaria Igea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Bellaria Igea & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +72.7%
9.09
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fortis Juventus attacking → ← attacking Bellaria Igea

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortis Juventus scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Bellaria Igea let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Fortis Juventus went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Bellaria Igea lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 24
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
2.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Parma382810082:1794
2Altovicentino38238784:4377
3Forli FC381912769:4669
4San Marino Calcio381714755:4165
5Correggese3818101066:4964
6Imolese381891163:4163
7Delta Porto Tolle381871368:5161
8Ribelle381871363:5461
9Lentigione381781353:5159
10Sammaurese381591453:4954
11Arzignano381581560:5453
12Legnago Salus3812151155:5451
13Ravenna389171250:5944
14Romagna Centro3811111640:5144
15Virtus Castelfranco3810121650:5942
16Mezzolara387141730:5535
17Villafranca38892145:6333
18Bellaria Igea386112138:7629
19Clodiense38762535:8127
20Fortis Juventus38272932:9713