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Fortis vs Fakirerpool YMC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bangladesh Bangladesh

BFL 2025/2026 Muktijuddho Sriti Stadium, Rajshahi
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Babou P.
19' Event
Sagor R.
Assist: Babou P.
26'
Sub
Sanju Ahamed M. In: Bappi Hasan M.
Out: Sanju Ahamed M.

AI Match Summary

The BFL 2025/2026 game between Fortis and Fakirerpool YMC finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fortis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Fortis
35%
Draws
20%
Fakirerpool YMC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fortis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Fakirerpool YMC haven't matched Fortis's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Fortis a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Fortis Clean Sheet 68%
Fakirerpool YMC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortis Fakirerpool YMC
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 4
Draws 11 6
Losses 4 18
Goals Scored 1.9 0.82
Goals Conceded 0.8 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 Federation Cup
Fortis vs Fakirerpool YMC
1:1
May 8, 2026 BFL
Fakirerpool YMC vs Fortis
1:7
Dec 20, 2025 BFL
Fortis vs Fakirerpool YMC
3:0
Apr 25, 2025 BFL
Fortis vs Fakirerpool YMC
1:1
Dec 13, 2024 BFL
Fakirerpool YMC vs Fortis
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fortis Compare

Top Goalscorer Babou P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sagor R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Fakirerpool YMC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortis 95 / 100
Fakirerpool YMC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortis Fakirerpool YMC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortis scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Fakirerpool YMC let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Fortis went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fortis VS Fakirerpool YMC
2.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortis

(Home)
03 Oct
Fortis
3 : 3
City Club
22 Sept
Fortis
1 : 1
Fakirerpool YMC
18 Sept
Fortis
6 : 0
Chattogram
11 Aug
Fortis
1 : 0
Muras United
23 May
PWD Sports Club
2 : 2
Fortis
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Fakirerpool YMC

(Away)
02 Oct
Fakirerpool YMC
0 : 1
Mohammedan
22 Sept
Fortis
1 : 1
Fakirerpool YMC
18 Sept
Fakirerpool YMC
2 : 1
Dhaka Wanderers
23 May
Bashundara Kings
4 : 1
Fakirerpool YMC
15 May
Fakirerpool YMC
0 : 1
PWD Sports Club
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