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Fortis vs Muras United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Challenge League Muktijuddho Sriti Stadium, Rajshahi
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Ibrahim M.
Assist: Babou P.
75' Event
Atabaev E.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Fortis
35%
Draws
27%
Muras United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fortis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Muras United haven't matched Fortis's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Fortis a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Fortis have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fortis, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Fortis Clean Sheet 16%
Muras United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortis Muras United
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 11 10
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 2.03 1.9
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.15 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 AFC Challenge League
Fortis vs Muras United
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fortis Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibrahim M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.07

Muras United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortis 84 / 100
Muras United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortis Muras United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortis's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Fortis has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Muras United has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Fortis VS Muras United
3.17 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
83% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 50%
67% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortis

(Home)
09 Oct
Brothers U.
0 : 6
Fortis
03 Oct
Fortis
3 : 3
City Club
22 Sept
Fortis
1 : 1
Fakirerpool YMC
18 Sept
Fortis
6 : 0
Chattogram
11 Aug
Fortis
1 : 0
Muras United
Page 1 of 6

Muras United

(Away)
08 Oct
Neftchi Kochkor-Ata
0 : 0
Muras United
10 Sept
Alay Osh
0 : 1
Muras United
01 Sept
Aldier
3 : 2
Muras United
23 Aug
Muras United
6 : 0
Kyrgyzaltyn
19 Aug
Muras United
1 : 1
Ilbirs
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Dordoi Bishkek 1
Homs Al Fidaa 2
Fortis 1
Muras United 0
Al Ittihad Aleppo 1
Bangladesh Police 0
Maziya 0
Regar-TadAZ 3
Paro 2
Abu Muslim 0
Taiwan Steel 3
Central Stallions 2
FC Ulaanbaatar 1
Hang Yuen 2
Ezra 1
Yangon United 2
Kasuka 2
Karketu Dili 1