Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fortis vs Muras United

Asia Asia

AFC Challenge League Muktijuddho Sriti Stadium, Rajshahi
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Ibrahim M.
Assist: Babou P.
75' Event
Atabaev E.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Fortis
35%
Draws
21%
Muras United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fortis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Fortis haven't matched Muras United's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Fortis a 44% chance of winning this.
  • Muras United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fortis, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fortis Clean Sheet 15%
Muras United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortis Muras United
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 11 9
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.63 1.79
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 AFC Challenge League
Fortis vs Muras United
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fortis Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibrahim M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Muras United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortis 84 / 100
Muras United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortis Muras United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortis's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Fortis has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Muras United has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Fortis VS Muras United
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
67% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortis

(Home)
11 Aug
Fortis
1 : 0
Muras United
23 May
PWD Sports Club
2 : 2
Fortis
15 May
Fortis
2 : 0
Brothers U.
08 May
Fakirerpool YMC
1 : 7
Fortis
01 May
Fortis
3 : 2
Rahmatgonj MFS
Page 1 of 6

Muras United

(Away)
11 Aug
Fortis
1 : 0
Muras United
06 Aug
Muras United
1 : 1
Asia Talas
02 Aug
Asiagoal Bishkek
1 : 1
Muras United
24 Jul
Muras United
0 : 0
Bishkek City
14 Jul
Muras United
3 : 2
Bars
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Dordoi Bishkek 1
Homs Al Fidaa 2
Fortis 1
Muras United 0
Al-Ittihad Aleppo 1
Bangladesh Police 0
Maziya 0
Regar-TadAZ 3
Paro 2
Abu Muslim 0
Taiwan Steel 3
Central Stallions 2
FC Ulaanbaatar 1
Hang Yuen 2
Ezra -
Yangon United -
Kasuka -
Karketu Dili -