Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fortis vs Rahmatgonj MFS

Bangladesh Bangladesh

BFL Muktijuddho Sriti Stadium, Rajshahi
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Ahmed J.
Assist: Ahmed P.
11' Event
Okafor O.
Assist: Hossain S.
20' Event
Appau A.
Assist: Solomon K.

AI Match Summary

Fortis in this BFL matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fortis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Fortis
20%
Draws
19%
Rahmatgonj MFS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fortis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Fortis have won more games recently than Rahmatgonj MFS.
  • Win probability leans Fortis's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Fortis here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Fortis Clean Sheet 20%
Rahmatgonj MFS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortis Rahmatgonj MFS
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 11 11
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 BFL
Fortis vs Rahmatgonj MFS
3:2
Dec 12, 2025 BFL
Rahmatgonj MFS vs Fortis
0:1
Feb 21, 2025 BFL
Fortis vs Rahmatgonj MFS
3:1
Nov 30, 2024 BFL
Rahmatgonj MFS vs Fortis
3:1
Apr 26, 2024 BFL
Rahmatgonj MFS vs Fortis
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fortis Compare

Top Goalscorer Babou P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Okafor O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Rahmatgonj MFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmed J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Appau A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortis 85 / 100
Rahmatgonj MFS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortis Rahmatgonj MFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortis's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Fortis stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Rahmatgonj MFS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fortis VS Rahmatgonj MFS
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortis

(Home)
11 Aug
Fortis
1 : 0
Muras United
23 May
PWD Sports Club
2 : 2
Fortis
15 May
Fortis
2 : 0
Brothers U.
08 May
Fakirerpool YMC
1 : 7
Fortis
01 May
Fortis
3 : 2
Rahmatgonj MFS
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Rahmatgonj MFS

(Away)
23 May
Rahmatgonj MFS
0 : 0
Bangladesh Police
15 May
Rahmatgonj MFS
1 : 0
Mohammedan
09 May
Brothers U.
3 : 1
Rahmatgonj MFS
05 May
Rahmatgonj MFS
0 : 3
Mohammedan
01 May
Fortis
3 : 2
Rahmatgonj MFS
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