Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fortuna Chemnitz vs Dresden II

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dresden II in this Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dresden II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Fortuna Chemnitz
30%
Draws
42%
Dresden II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dresden II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Dresden II have won more games recently than Fortuna Chemnitz.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Dresden II taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Dresden II have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Fortuna Chemnitz Clean Sheet 19%
Dresden II Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortuna Chemnitz Dresden II
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 7 25
Draws 8 4
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.2 2.17
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Fortuna Chemnitz vs Dresden II
1:2
Nov 11, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Dresden II vs Fortuna Chemnitz
5:0
Apr 7, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Fortuna Chemnitz vs Dresden II
1:1
Aug 14, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Dresden II vs Fortuna Chemnitz
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortuna Chemnitz 10 / 100
Dresden II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortuna Chemnitz Dresden II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dresden II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortuna Chemnitz found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Dresden II let in goals in 65% of their last 40 matches.

Solid form: Fortuna Chemnitz remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dresden II
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortuna Chemnitz

(Home)
09 Jun
Aue II
5 : 1
Fortuna Chemnitz
05 Jun
Fortuna Chemnitz
2 : 5
Chemnitzer II
25 May
Fortuna Chemnitz
3 : 4
Hallescher II
18 May
Gotha
1 : 2
Fortuna Chemnitz
15 May
Fortuna Chemnitz
2 : 1
Laubsdorf
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Dresden II

(Away)
13 Sept
Auerbach
1 : 1
Dresden II
30 Aug
Dresden II
5 : 1
Einheit Rudolstadt
16 Aug
Eilenburg
1 : 1
Dresden II
09 Aug
Dresden II
1 : 0
Freital
18 Jul
Lichtenberg
1 : 1
Dresden II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wacker Nordhausen 30 20 7 3 60:22 67
2 Bautzen 30 18 7 5 66:27 61
3 Markranstadt 30 15 12 3 61:23 57
4 Hallescher II 30 17 5 8 64:38 56
5 Dresden II 30 14 12 4 45:22 54
6 Jena II 30 13 5 12 50:42 44
7 Heidenauer 30 11 10 9 47:45 43
8 Halle 30 11 10 9 39:46 43
9 Chemnitzer II 30 9 10 11 42:45 37
10 Piesteritz 30 10 7 13 43:58 37
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 6 14 30:41 36
12 Erfurt II 30 10 3 17 37:53 33
13 Aue II 30 9 5 16 49:50 32
14 Fortuna Chemnitz 30 7 8 15 36:69 29
15 Gotha 30 5 4 21 29:74 19
16 Laubsdorf 30 3 5 22 22:65 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2013/2014 (Main)