Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fortuna Chemnitz vs Jena II

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013
Fortuna Chemnitz Logo

Fortuna Chemnitz

2 - 2
FT
Jena II Logo

Jena II

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 game between Fortuna Chemnitz and Jena II finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Fortuna Chemnitz
15%
Draws
28%
Jena II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fortuna Chemnitz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jena II come out ahead of Fortuna Chemnitz on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Fortuna Chemnitz Clean Sheet 19%
Jena II Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortuna Chemnitz Jena II
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 7 17
Draws 8 12
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.2 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Fortuna Chemnitz vs Jena II
2:2
Aug 12, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Jena II vs Fortuna Chemnitz
4:0
Dec 11, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Jena II vs Fortuna Chemnitz
2:1
Aug 6, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Fortuna Chemnitz vs Jena II
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortuna Chemnitz 32 / 100
Jena II 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortuna Chemnitz Jena II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jena II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortuna Chemnitz found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Jena II conceded in 71% of 42 recent games.

Away concern: Jena II has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jena II
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortuna Chemnitz

(Home)
09 Jun
Aue II
5 : 1
Fortuna Chemnitz
05 Jun
Fortuna Chemnitz
2 : 5
Chemnitzer II
25 May
Fortuna Chemnitz
3 : 4
Hallescher II
18 May
Gotha
1 : 2
Fortuna Chemnitz
15 May
Fortuna Chemnitz
2 : 1
Laubsdorf
Page 1 of 6

Jena II

(Away)
18 Jun
Jena II
2 : 6
Krieschow
11 Jun
Jena II
4 : 2
Bautzen
04 Jun
Jena II
0 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
28 May
Inter Leipzig
4 : 0
Jena II
21 May
Grimma
3 : 0
Jena II
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wacker Nordhausen 30 20 7 3 60:22 67
2 Bautzen 30 18 7 5 66:27 61
3 Markranstadt 30 15 12 3 61:23 57
4 Hallescher II 30 17 5 8 64:38 56
5 Dresden II 30 14 12 4 45:22 54
6 Jena II 30 13 5 12 50:42 44
7 Heidenauer 30 11 10 9 47:45 43
8 Halle 30 11 10 9 39:46 43
9 Chemnitzer II 30 9 10 11 42:45 37
10 Piesteritz 30 10 7 13 43:58 37
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 6 14 30:41 36
12 Erfurt II 30 10 3 17 37:53 33
13 Aue II 30 9 5 16 49:50 32
14 Fortuna Chemnitz 30 7 8 15 36:69 29
15 Gotha 30 5 4 21 29:74 19
16 Laubsdorf 30 3 5 22 22:65 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2013/2014 (Main)