Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fortuna Chemnitz vs Markranstadt

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013
Fortuna Chemnitz Logo

Fortuna Chemnitz

1 - 1
FT
Markranstadt Logo

Markranstadt

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 game between Fortuna Chemnitz and Markranstadt finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Fortuna Chemnitz
15%
Draws
34%
Markranstadt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fortuna Chemnitz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Fortuna Chemnitz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Fortuna Chemnitz a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Fortuna Chemnitz Clean Sheet 20%
Markranstadt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortuna Chemnitz Markranstadt
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 5
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.2 0.91
Goals Conceded 2.3 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Fortuna Chemnitz vs Markranstadt
1:1
Oct 26, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Markranstadt vs Fortuna Chemnitz
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortuna Chemnitz 85 / 100
Markranstadt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortuna Chemnitz Markranstadt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortuna Chemnitz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortuna Chemnitz found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Markranstadt has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Markranstadt lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Markranstadt
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortuna Chemnitz

(Home)
09 Jun
Aue II
5 : 1
Fortuna Chemnitz
05 Jun
Fortuna Chemnitz
2 : 5
Chemnitzer II
25 May
Fortuna Chemnitz
3 : 4
Hallescher II
18 May
Gotha
1 : 2
Fortuna Chemnitz
15 May
Fortuna Chemnitz
2 : 1
Laubsdorf
Page 1 of 6

Markranstadt

(Away)
29 Jan
Markranstadt
3 : 0
Grimma
25 Jan
Markranstadt
1 : 1
Zwenkau
16 Jul
Markranstadt
0 : 9
Magdeburg II
25 Jul
Markranstadt
0 : 9
Magdeburg
27 Jan
Markranstadt
0 : 6
Sandersdorf
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wacker Nordhausen 30 20 7 3 60:22 67
2 Bautzen 30 18 7 5 66:27 61
3 Markranstadt 30 15 12 3 61:23 57
4 Hallescher II 30 17 5 8 64:38 56
5 Dresden II 30 14 12 4 45:22 54
6 Jena II 30 13 5 12 50:42 44
7 Heidenauer 30 11 10 9 47:45 43
8 Halle 30 11 10 9 39:46 43
9 Chemnitzer II 30 9 10 11 42:45 37
10 Piesteritz 30 10 7 13 43:58 37
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 6 14 30:41 36
12 Erfurt II 30 10 3 17 37:53 33
13 Aue II 30 9 5 16 49:50 32
14 Fortuna Chemnitz 30 7 8 15 36:69 29
15 Gotha 30 5 4 21 29:74 19
16 Laubsdorf 30 3 5 22 22:65 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2013/2014 (Main)