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Fortuna Koln vs Saarbrucken - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

3. Liga Südstadion, Cologne
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fortuna Koln host Saarbrucken in the 3. Liga. This one's hard to separate. Fortuna Koln have averaged 1.78 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Saarbrucken's 2.03 scored and 1.41 conceded. Head-to-head, Fortuna Koln have won 2 to Saarbrucken's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 7, 2023, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.38 - 1.75) back Fortuna Koln to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Fortuna Koln
30%
Draws
39%
Saarbrucken
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Saarbrucken

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fortuna Koln lately — more wins on the board than Saarbrucken.
  • Model gives Fortuna Koln a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Fortuna Koln Clean Sheet 12%
Saarbrucken Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortuna Koln Saarbrucken
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.78 2.03
Goals Conceded 1 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2023 Club Friendly
Saarbrucken vs Fortuna Koln
2:1
Jul 11, 2017 Club Friendly
Fortuna Koln vs Saarbrucken
1:1
Jul 20, 2016 Club Friendly
Saarbrucken vs Fortuna Koln
2:1
Jul 7, 2014 Club Friendly
Saarbrucken vs Fortuna Koln
0:1
Mar 3, 1995 2. Bundesliga
Saarbrucken vs Fortuna Koln
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortuna Koln 35 / 100
Saarbrucken 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortuna Koln Saarbrucken

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortuna Koln found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Defensive concern: Saarbrucken conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Fortuna Koln has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fortuna Koln VS Saarbrucken
1 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortuna Koln

(Home)
25 Sept
TSV Havelse
1 : 3
Fortuna Koln
16 Sept
Fortuna Koln
0 : 2
Wehen
13 Sept
Hoffenheim II
2 : 2
Fortuna Koln
06 Sept
Fortuna Koln
0 : 0
Dusseldorf
29 Aug
Verl
1 : 2
Fortuna Koln
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Saarbrucken

(Away)
02 Oct
Saarbrucken
2 : 1
Nancy
19 Sept
Saarbrucken
2 : 1
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
16 Sept
Preussen Munster
3 : 3
Saarbrucken
12 Sept
Saarbrucken
0 : 1
Ingolstadt
05 Sept
Meppen
1 : 6
Saarbrucken
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Duisburg 7 6 0 1 19:7 18
2 FC Viktoria Koln 7 5 0 2 19:9 15
3 RW Essen 7 4 2 1 13:9 14
4 Saarbrucken 7 4 1 2 19:12 13
5 Hoffenheim II 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
6 Hansa Rostock 7 3 3 1 15:15 12
7 Alemannia Aachen 7 3 2 2 11:8 11
8 Preussen Munster 7 3 2 2 12:13 11
9 Mannheim 7 3 1 3 11:10 10
10 Dusseldorf 7 3 1 3 6:7 10
11 Verl 7 3 1 3 10:13 10
12 Fortuna Koln 7 2 3 2 8:8 9
13 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
14 Ingolstadt 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
15 VfB Stuttgart II 7 2 1 4 12:15 7
16 Wurzburger Kickers 7 2 1 4 11:15 7
17 Meppen 7 2 0 5 8:15 6
18 Regensburg 7 1 2 4 13:17 5
19 Wehen 7 1 2 4 5:13 5
20 TSV Havelse 7 1 1 5 10:15 4
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)