Sport Picks

Germany

DFB Pokal Women 2015/2016

Saarbrucken W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fortuna Koln W play Saarbrucken W in the DFB Pokal Women 2015/2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Fortuna Koln W averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.29 conceded. Saarbrucken W averaged 2.09 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, Fortuna Koln W won 0, Saarbrucken W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 23, 2015 ended 1:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Fortuna Koln W and 2.13 for Saarbrucken W. This points to a Saarbrucken W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Fortuna Koln W

15%

Draws

45%

Saarbrucken W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saarbrucken W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Fortuna Koln W picked up more points recently compared to Saarbrucken W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 2.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 95%

Over 2.5 Goals 81%

Over 3.5 Goals 49%

Over 4.5 Goals 24%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70%

Fortuna Koln W Clean Sheet 10%

Saarbrucken W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 86%

Second Half Goal 90%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fortuna Koln W	Saarbrucken W
Matches Played	14	22
Wins	5	7
Draws	0	5
Losses	9	10
Goals Scored	1.5	2.09
Goals Conceded	2.29	2.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2015 DFB Pokal Women

Fortuna Koln W vs Saarbrucken W

Possession: 42% - 54% Cards: 3 - 4

1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fortuna Koln W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Saarbrucken W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mayer L.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Reiter L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortuna Koln W 38 / 100

Saarbrucken W 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fortuna Koln W Saarbrucken W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Saarbrucken W or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.7%

1.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fortuna Koln W attacking → ← attacking Saarbrucken W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortuna Koln W scored in 71% of their last 14 games.

Saarbrucken W let in goals in 86% of their last 22 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Fortuna Koln W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Saarbrucken W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

15 Points in last 5 26

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.13

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25