Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Fortune Sacco and Mombasa United finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fortune Sacco.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Mombasa United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fortune Sacco | Mombasa United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 19 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.63 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fortune Sacco found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Mombasa United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Fortune Sacco stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Fortune Sacco
(Home)Mombasa United
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Migori | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 57:29 | 81 |
| 2 | 3K FC | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 62:26 | 77 |
| 3 | Mombasa United | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 51:32 | 76 |
| 4 | Equity Bank | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 56:28 | 74 |
| 5 | MOFA | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 51:30 | 64 |
| 6 | Fortune Sacco | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61:41 | 63 |
| 7 | Naivas FC | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:30 | 61 |
| 8 | Talanta FC | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 53:41 | 57 |
| 9 | Kibera | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 32:33 | 53 |
| 10 | Soy United | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 31:27 | 52 |
| 11 | Nzoia Sugar | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:36 | 50 |
| 12 | Gucha Stars | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 35:41 | 44 |
| 13 | Luanda Villa | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 30:51 | 43 |
| 14 | Kabati | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 32:52 | 39 |
| 15 | Kisumu All-Stars | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 23:47 | 39 |
| 16 | Nairobi City Stars | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 32:44 | 39 |
| 17 | Darajani Gogo | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 27:48 | 38 |
| 18 | MCF | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 24:42 | 34 |
| 19 | Vihiga United | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29:55 | 30 |
| 20 | Mwatate United | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 27:64 | 25 |
