Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Forward Madison vs Central Valley Fuego

USA USA

USL League One 2024 Breese Stevens Field
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Carrera J.
38' Event
Chaney C.
Assist: Crull J.
46'
Sub
John-Brown S. In: Midence A.
Out: John-Brown S.

AI Match Summary

Forward Madison host Central Valley Fuego in the USL League One 2024. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Forward Madison at 1.25 goals for, 1.38 against; Central Valley Fuego at 0 for, 0 against. Head-to-head, Forward Madison have won 3 to Central Valley Fuego's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2024, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.23 xG vs 1.19) point toward Forward Madison. Forward Madison in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Forward Madison
6%
Draws
4%
Central Valley Fuego
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Forward Madison

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Forward Madison has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Central Valley Fuego.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Forward Madison.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in USL League One 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Forward Madison Clean Sheet 20%
Central Valley Fuego Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forward Madison Central Valley Fuego
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2024 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Central Valley Fuego
2:1
Mar 30, 2024 USL League One
Central Valley Fuego vs Forward Madison
0:3
Aug 27, 2023 USL League One
Central Valley Fuego vs Forward Madison
4:4
Jul 9, 2023 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Central Valley Fuego
1:0
Jun 4, 2023 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Central Valley Fuego
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forward Madison Compare

Top Goalscorer Chaney C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boyce D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Central Valley Fuego Compare

Top Goalscorer Mariona J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forward Madison 85 / 100
Central Valley Fuego 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forward Madison Central Valley Fuego

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forward Madison scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Central Valley Fuego let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Forward Madison went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Central Valley Fuego lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Forward Madison VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha22153447:2448
2Northern Colorado22125534:1841
3Forward Madison22109335:1839
4Greenville Triumph22114739:2837
5One Knoxville2298523:1635
6Charlotte Independence2297637:3134
7Spokane Velocity2276926:3527
8Richmond Kickers22661025:3424
9Lexington22561133:4221
10South Georgia Tormenta22481033:4220
11Chattanooga Red Wolves22531428:4818
12Central Valley Fuego22531427:5118