Sport Picks
Forward Madison vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
USA
USL League One Breese Stevens Field, Madison, WI 
Match Events
7'
7'
Carmichael R.
Assist: Carmichael K.
14'
14'
Adewole T.
Assist: Wessels W.
23'
23'
Sub
Forbes J. In: Munjoma E.
Out: Forbes J.
AI Match Summary
Forward Madison in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Forward Madison.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
35%
38%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chattanooga Red Wolves
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
27%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Forward Madison lately — more wins on the board than Chattanooga Red Wolves.
- Win probability leans Forward Madison's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Forward Madison Clean Sheet 19%
Chattanooga Red Wolves Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Forward Madison | Chattanooga Red Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Forward Madison
1:0
Jul 30, 2026 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
5:2
Oct 11, 2025 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2:1
Aug 6, 2025 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Forward Madison
2:1
May 31, 2025 USL Cup
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Forward Madison
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Forward Madison Compare
Top Goalscorer Carmichael R.
2 Goals Assists Leader Toure K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Chattanooga Red Wolves Compare
Top Goalscorer Adewole T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bentley M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Forward Madison 40 / 100
Chattanooga Red Wolves 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Forward Madison Chattanooga Red Wolves
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Forward Madison Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Forward Madison found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Chattanooga Red Wolves has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Forward Madison has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Forward Madison VS Chattanooga Red Wolves
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Forward Madison
(Home) 19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0 AV Alta FC
16 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0 Forward Madison
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
06 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
0 : 2 Forward Madison
03 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 One Knoxville
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19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0 AV Alta FC
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
03 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 One Knoxville
23 Aug
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
13 Aug
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Greenville Triumph
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Chattanooga Red Wolves
(Away) 30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0 Spokane Velocity
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
16 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0 Forward Madison
12 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 1 Chattanooga Red Wolves
05 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 1 Greenville Triumph
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12 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 1 Chattanooga Red Wolves
02 Sept
Westchester SC
0 : 1 Chattanooga Red Wolves
19 Aug
Sarasota Paradise
3 : 2 Chattanooga Red Wolves
15 Aug
Fort Wayne
1 : 2 Chattanooga Red Wolves
30 Jul
Forward Madison
5 : 2 Chattanooga Red Wolves
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53:31 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 64:40 | 57 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 50:27 | 51 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 44:31 | 47 |
| 5 | Athletic Club Boise | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 44:39 | 46 |
| 6 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 47:39 | 43 |
| 7 | Spokane Velocity | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 37:33 | 43 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 42:36 | 38 |
| 9 | Corpus Christi FC | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32:37 | 36 |
| 10 | Sarasota Paradise | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 37:40 | 33 |
| 11 | AV Alta FC | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 34:40 | 32 |
| 12 | FC Naples | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 30:43 | 31 |
| 13 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 40:50 | 30 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 46:45 | 29 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:51 | 23 |
| 16 | New York Cosmos | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 32:52 | 22 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 25:53 | 20 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
