Sport Picks
Forward Madison vs New York Cosmos Prediction & H2H Stats
USA
USL League One Breese Stevens Field, Madison, WI 
Match Events
17'
17'
Carmichael K.
25'
25'
Carmichael R.
Assist: Torres R.
28'
28'
Torres R.
AI Match Summary
The USL League One game between Forward Madison and New York Cosmos finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Forward Madison.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Forward Madison
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- New York Cosmos haven't matched Forward Madison's recent run of results.
- Forward Madison are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Forward Madison Clean Sheet 17%
New York Cosmos Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Forward Madison | New York Cosmos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 21, 2026 USL League One
Forward Madison vs New York Cosmos
3:1
Apr 19, 2026 USL League One
New York Cosmos vs Forward Madison
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Forward Madison Compare
Top Goalscorer Carmichael R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Torres R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
New York Cosmos Compare
Top Goalscorer Guenzatti S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Forward Madison 41 / 100
New York Cosmos 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Forward Madison New York Cosmos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: New York Cosmos conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Forward Madison's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Forward Madison has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Forward Madison VS New York Cosmos
1.25 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Forward Madison
(Home) 26 Sept
Forward Madison
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0 AV Alta FC
16 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0 Forward Madison
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
06 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
0 : 2 Forward Madison
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Forward Madison
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0 AV Alta FC
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
03 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 One Knoxville
23 Aug
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 4
New York Cosmos
(Away) 27 Sept
New York Cosmos
3 : 2 Richmond Kickers
19 Sept
New York Cosmos
1 : 2 Westchester SC
12 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1 New York Cosmos
05 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 4 New York Cosmos
02 Sept
New York Cosmos
1 : 2 Sarasota Paradise
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1 New York Cosmos
05 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 4 New York Cosmos
30 Aug
Union Omaha
1 : 1 New York Cosmos
22 Aug
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 3 New York Cosmos
20 Aug
Corpus Christi FC
0 : 2 New York Cosmos
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53:31 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 67:42 | 60 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 50:27 | 52 |
| 4 | Athletic Club Boise | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 49 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 46:34 | 48 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 50:40 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 42:36 | 39 |
| 9 | Corpus Christi FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 32:40 | 36 |
| 10 | FC Naples | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 32:44 | 34 |
| 11 | Westchester SC | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 48:46 | 33 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 43:53 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 36:56 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:58 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
