Sport Picks
Forward Madison vs One Knoxville
USA
USL League One Breese Stevens Field, Madison, WI 
Match Events
45'
45'
Segbers M.
45'
45'
McRobb F.
46'
46'
Sub
Forbes J. In: Edwards A.
Out: Forbes J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: One Knoxville
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Forward Madison average 1.83 goals a game right now, well clear of One Knoxville's 1.71.
- Model gives Forward Madison a 33% chance of winning this.
- Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Forward Madison Clean Sheet 20%
One Knoxville Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Forward Madison | One Knoxville |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 3, 2026 USL League One
Forward Madison vs One Knoxville
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Forward Madison
1:2
Aug 10, 2025 USL League One
Forward Madison vs One Knoxville
2:2
Jun 28, 2025 USL Cup
Forward Madison vs One Knoxville
1:0
May 9, 2025 USL League One
One Knoxville vs Forward Madison
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Forward Madison Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
One Knoxville Compare
Top Goalscorer Conway E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Forward Madison 49 / 100
One Knoxville 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Forward Madison One Knoxville
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Forward Madison Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: One Knoxville conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
Forward Madison found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Forward Madison has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Forward Madison VS One Knoxville
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Forward Madison
(Home) 26 Sept
Forward Madison
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0 AV Alta FC
16 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0 Forward Madison
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
06 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
0 : 2 Forward Madison
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Forward Madison
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0 AV Alta FC
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
03 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 One Knoxville
23 Aug
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 4
One Knoxville
(Away) 27 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 Westchester SC
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1 One Knoxville
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3 One Knoxville
11 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 FC Naples
06 Sept
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1 One Knoxville
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3 One Knoxville
06 Sept
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 One Knoxville
03 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 One Knoxville
15 Aug
Greenville Triumph
1 : 1 One Knoxville
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53:31 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 64:40 | 57 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 50:27 | 51 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:31 | 48 |
| 5 | Athletic Club Boise | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 44:39 | 46 |
| 6 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 47:39 | 43 |
| 7 | Spokane Velocity | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 37:33 | 43 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 42:36 | 38 |
| 9 | Corpus Christi FC | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32:37 | 36 |
| 10 | Sarasota Paradise | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 37:40 | 33 |
| 11 | AV Alta FC | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 34:40 | 32 |
| 12 | FC Naples | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 30:43 | 31 |
| 13 | Westchester SC | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 46:45 | 30 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 40:50 | 30 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 35:54 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:51 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 27:56 | 20 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
