Sport Picks
Forward Madison vs Sarasota Paradise
USA
USL League One Breese Stevens Field, Madison, WI 
Match Events
18'
18'
Kiingi K.
39'
39'
Krueger B.
Assist: Bolanos J.
44'
44'
Bolanos J.
AI Match Summary
The USL League One game between Forward Madison and Sarasota Paradise finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
35%
34%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Sarasota Paradise haven't matched Forward Madison's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Forward Madison Clean Sheet 16%
Sarasota Paradise Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Forward Madison | Sarasota Paradise |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Sarasota Paradise
1:1
May 2, 2026 USL League One
Sarasota Paradise vs Forward Madison
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Forward Madison Compare
Top Goalscorer Ngoubou C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Sarasota Paradise Compare
Top Goalscorer Krueger B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Forward Madison 30 / 100
Sarasota Paradise 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Forward Madison Sarasota Paradise
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Forward Madison Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Forward Madison scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Sarasota Paradise has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Forward Madison remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Forward Madison VS Sarasota Paradise
1.5 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Forward Madison
(Home) 19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0 AV Alta FC
16 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0 Forward Madison
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
06 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
0 : 2 Forward Madison
03 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 One Knoxville
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0 AV Alta FC
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
03 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 One Knoxville
23 Aug
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
13 Aug
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Greenville Triumph
Page 1 of 3
Sarasota Paradise
(Away) 19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0 Greenville Triumph
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
05 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
1 : 1 Spokane Velocity
02 Sept
New York Cosmos
1 : 2 Sarasota Paradise
22 Aug
Union Omaha
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
02 Sept
New York Cosmos
1 : 2 Sarasota Paradise
22 Aug
Union Omaha
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
15 Aug
Charlotte Independence
3 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
08 Aug
One Knoxville
2 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 50:30 | 58 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 63:39 | 56 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 50:26 | 51 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 44:31 | 47 |
| 5 | Athletic Club Boise | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43:37 | 46 |
| 6 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 47:38 | 43 |
| 7 | Spokane Velocity | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 36:33 | 40 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 41:35 | 37 |
| 9 | Corpus Christi FC | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 30:36 | 33 |
| 10 | AV Alta FC | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 34:40 | 32 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 33:39 | 30 |
| 12 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 39:46 | 30 |
| 13 | Westchester SC | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 46:45 | 29 |
| 14 | FC Naples | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29:43 | 28 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 29:48 | 23 |
| 16 | New York Cosmos | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 32:52 | 22 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 25:53 | 20 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
