Sport Picks
Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One Breese Stevens Field, Madison, WI 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Fernandez C. In: Elmasnaouy A.
Out: Fernandez C.
48'
48'
McCamy C.
53'
53'
Glaeser M.
AI Match Summary
The USL League One game between Forward Madison and Spokane Velocity finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spokane Velocity.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
25%
35%
40%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Spokane Velocity
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
25%
/ Low Confidence
- Spokane Velocity carry the better recent record into this one.
- Forward Madison are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Spokane Velocity have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Forward Madison Clean Sheet 19%
Spokane Velocity Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Forward Madison | Spokane Velocity |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity
0:1
Jul 2, 2026 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs Forward Madison
0:1
Aug 22, 2025 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity
0:1
Jun 15, 2025 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs Forward Madison
2:1
Nov 10, 2024 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Forward Madison Compare
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Spokane Velocity Compare
Top Goalscorer Denton J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Forward Madison 67 / 100
Spokane Velocity 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Forward Madison Spokane Velocity
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Forward Madison Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Forward Madison scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Spokane Velocity conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Solid form: Forward Madison remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Forward Madison VS Spokane Velocity
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Forward Madison
(Home) 03 Oct
Fort Wayne
0 : 0 Forward Madison
26 Sept
Forward Madison
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0 AV Alta FC
16 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0 Forward Madison
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Forward Madison
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0 AV Alta FC
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
03 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 One Knoxville
23 Aug
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 4
Spokane Velocity
(Away) 04 Oct
Spokane Velocity
3 : 3 Portland Hearts of Pine
30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
26 Sept
Forward Madison
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
20 Sept
Spokane Velocity
2 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1 Spokane Velocity
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
26 Sept
Forward Madison
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1 Spokane Velocity
05 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
1 : 1 Spokane Velocity
29 Aug
Westchester SC
1 : 3 Spokane Velocity
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53:31 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 67:42 | 60 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 50:27 | 52 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:34 | 51 |
| 5 | Athletic Club Boise | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 49 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 45:37 | 42 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34:44 | 37 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 11 | Westchester SC | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 48:46 | 33 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 43:53 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 36:56 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30:60 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
