Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Forward Madison vs Union Omaha

USA USA

USL Cup Breese Stevens Field
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Gomez A.
Assist: Owusu S.
31' Event
Bolma J.
35' Event
Carmichael R.
Assist: Carmichael K.

AI Match Summary

The USL Cup game between Forward Madison and Union Omaha finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Forward Madison.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Forward Madison
6%
Draws
4%
Union Omaha
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Forward Madison

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Union Omaha carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Forward Madison a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Cup games in USL Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Forward Madison Clean Sheet 19%
Union Omaha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forward Madison Union Omaha
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 12 18
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 USL Cup
Forward Madison vs Union Omaha
4:3
Apr 11, 2026 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Forward Madison
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Forward Madison
4:0
Jun 8, 2025 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Union Omaha
0:1
May 3, 2025 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Union Omaha
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forward Madison Compare

Top Goalscorer Carmichael R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bolma J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Union Omaha Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ors Navarro S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forward Madison 85 / 100
Union Omaha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forward Madison Union Omaha

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Forward Madison remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Forward Madison found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Union Omaha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Forward Madison VS Union Omaha
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spokane Velocity43016:69
2Sacramento Republic43017:38
3Athletic Club Boise43019:68
4Oakland Roots41034:64
5Las Vegas Lights41034:74
6Monterey Bay41038:103
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colorado Springs440010:112
2New Mexico43018:59
3El Paso Locomotive42025:56
4AV Alta FC42025:66
5Phoenix Rising41033:83
6Orange County SC40043:90
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Antonio FC44006:111
2Birmingham Legion43018:39
3One Knoxville43016:46
4FC Tulsa41034:74
5Corpus Christi FC41032:64
6Chattanooga Red Wolves40042:72
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Louisville City440013:411
2Detroit City42024:48
3Indy Eleven43017:47
4Lexington42028:86
5Union Omaha420210:126
6Forward Madison41036:103
7Fort Wayne40046:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hartford Athletic43018:310
2Rhode Island43017:37
3Brooklyn FC42029:57
4Portland Hearts of Pine42027:106
5New York Cosmos41035:114
6Westchester SC41036:102
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Charlotte Independence44008:410
2Charleston43019:49
3Pittsburgh Riverhounds42026:38
4Greenville Triumph41034:73
5Loudoun United41034:73
6Richmond Kickers41033:93
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay440010:112
2Miami FC430111:59
3Sporting Jax41033:54
4Sarasota Paradise41032:93
5FC Naples41033:92