Sport Picks

USA

USL Cup Breese Stevens Field, Madison, WI

Forward Madison

4 - 3

Union Omaha

Our Tip

Match Events

26'

Gomez A.

Assist: Owusu S.

31'

Bolma J.

35'

Carmichael R.

Assist: Carmichael K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-3. The second leg ended 4-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Forward Madison

15%

Draws

58%

Union Omaha

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union Omaha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence

Union Omaha carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Union Omaha a 58% chance of winning this.
Union Omaha arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Union Omaha, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Forward Madison Clean Sheet 16%

Union Omaha Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Forward Madison	Union Omaha
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	14	20
Draws	6	4
Losses	10	8
Goals Scored	1.77	1.88
Goals Conceded	1.2	1.28
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 USL Cup

Forward Madison vs Union Omaha

4:3

Apr 11, 2026 USL League One

Union Omaha vs Forward Madison

1:0

Oct 18, 2025 USL League One

Union Omaha vs Forward Madison

4:0

Jun 8, 2025 USL League One

Forward Madison vs Union Omaha

0:1

May 3, 2025 USL League One

Forward Madison vs Union Omaha

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forward Madison Compare

Top Goalscorer Carmichael R.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Bolma J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Union Omaha Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ors Navarro S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.31

Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forward Madison 28 / 100

Union Omaha 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Forward Madison Union Omaha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Omaha Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Omaha's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Forward Madison found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Forward Madison stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Forward Madison VS Union Omaha

1.25 Goals Scored 2

0.88 Goals Conceded 1

88% Over 1.5 100%

25% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Forward Madison

(Home)

26 Sept

Forward Madison

0 : 1

Spokane Velocity

19 Sept

Forward Madison

3 : 0

AV Alta FC

16 Sept

Chattanooga Red Wolves

1 : 0

Forward Madison

12 Sept

Forward Madison

1 : 1

Sarasota Paradise

06 Sept

Corpus Christi FC

0 : 2

Forward Madison

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Union Omaha

(Away)

26 Sept

Greenville Triumph

1 : 3

Union Omaha

20 Sept

Union Omaha

2 : 1

One Knoxville

16 Sept

Union Omaha

3 : 1

Spokane Velocity

13 Sept

Corpus Christi FC

1 : 2

Union Omaha

06 Sept

Union Omaha

2 : 0

Charlotte Independence

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