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Forward vs Sturehov IK

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Club Friendly 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Forward play Sturehov IK in the Club Friendly 2020. Forward are favorites here. Recently, Forward averaged 1.74 goals scored and 1.81 conceded. Sturehov IK averaged 0.33 goals scored and 2.67 conceded. In past meetings, Forward won 1, Sturehov IK won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 18, 2020 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Forward and 1.13 for Sturehov IK. This points to a Forward double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Forward
16%
Draws
13%
Sturehov IK
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Forward

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Forward picked up more points recently compared to Sturehov IK.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Forward Clean Sheet 21%
Sturehov IK Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forward Sturehov IK
Matches Played 31 3
Wins 13 0
Draws 5 0
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 1.74 0.33
Goals Conceded 1.81 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2020 Club Friendly
Forward vs Sturehov IK
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forward Compare

Top Goalscorer Hultberg H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ponciano A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sturehov IK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forward 68 / 100
Sturehov IK 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forward Sturehov IK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forward Win (1)
Secondary Pick Forward & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.9%
1.59
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Forward attacking → ← attacking Sturehov IK

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forward scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Sturehov IK let in goals in 100% of their last 3 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Forward went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sturehov IK lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 0
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00