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Fossano vs Chisola

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Rosso S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 game between Fossano and Chisola finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chisola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Fossano
15%
Draws
85%
Chisola
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chisola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Chisola carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Chisola's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chisola have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Fossano Clean Sheet 19%
Chisola Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fossano Chisola
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.83 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs Fossano
5:0
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Chisola
0:1
Apr 23, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Chisola
0:1
Dec 11, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs Fossano
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fossano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Chisola Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosso S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fossano 10 / 100
Chisola 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fossano Chisola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chisola Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fossano's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Chisola let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Chisola's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Chisola
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fossano

(Home)
04 May
Chisola
5 : 0
Fossano
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
NovaRomentin
3 : 1
Fossano
13 Apr
Fossano
1 : 2
Derthona FbC
06 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 0
Fossano
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Chisola

(Away)
16 Sept
Chisola
1 : 0
Sanremese
13 Sept
Fezzanese
2 : 0
Chisola
10 May
Ligorna
1 : 0
Chisola
03 May
Valenzana
2 : 3
Chisola
26 Apr
Chisola
4 : 2
Lavagnese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)