Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fossano vs Gozzano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Lischetti L.
84' Event
Benti L.
86' Event
Ori R.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 game between Fossano and Gozzano finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gozzano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Fossano
20%
Draws
80%
Gozzano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gozzano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Fossano haven't matched Gozzano's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Gozzano taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fossano Clean Sheet 20%
Gozzano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fossano Gozzano
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 11
Draws 4 12
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 0.83 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Gozzano
1:2
Sep 8, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Fossano
1:2
Feb 15, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Gozzano
2:5
Oct 5, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Fossano
3:1
Apr 10, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Gozzano
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fossano Compare

Top Goalscorer Benti L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Gozzano Compare

Top Goalscorer Lischetti L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ori R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fossano 10 / 100
Gozzano 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fossano Gozzano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gozzano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Fossano scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Gozzano has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Gozzano's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gozzano
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fossano

(Home)
04 May
Chisola
5 : 0
Fossano
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
NovaRomentin
3 : 1
Fossano
13 Apr
Fossano
1 : 2
Derthona FbC
06 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 0
Fossano
Page 1 of 6

Gozzano

(Away)
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
12 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 0
Gozzano
06 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
GSD Lascaris
12 Aug
Pro Patria
3 : 1
Gozzano
10 May
Derthona FbC
1 : 2
Gozzano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)