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Fossano vs Imperia Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Muzio C.

AI Match Summary

Fossano in this Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fossano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Fossano
15%
Draws
85%
Imperia Calcio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Imperia Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Imperia Calcio lately — more wins on the board than Fossano.
  • Win probability leans Imperia Calcio's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Fossano Clean Sheet 20%
Imperia Calcio Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fossano Imperia Calcio
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 12
Draws 4 10
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Imperia Calcio
1:0
Sep 29, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Fossano
2:1
May 8, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Fossano
3:3
Dec 22, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Imperia Calcio
1:0
Apr 10, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Fossano
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fossano Compare

Top Goalscorer Muzio C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Imperia Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fossano 10 / 100
Imperia Calcio 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fossano Imperia Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Imperia Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Fossano's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Imperia Calcio let in goals in 62% of their last 34 matches.

Difficult form: Imperia Calcio registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Imperia Calcio
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fossano

(Home)
04 May
Chisola
5 : 0
Fossano
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
NovaRomentin
3 : 1
Fossano
13 Apr
Fossano
1 : 2
Derthona FbC
06 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 0
Fossano
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Imperia Calcio

(Away)
16 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
13 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 1
Imperia Calcio
06 Sept
Imperia Calcio
1 : 0
Millesimo
09 Aug
Pro Patria
2 : 1
Imperia Calcio
03 May
Imperia Calcio
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)