Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fossano vs Saluzzo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
D'Arcangelo F.
63' Event
Kone L.
80' Event
D'Arcangelo F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 game between Fossano and Saluzzo finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saluzzo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Fossano
30%
Draws
70%
Saluzzo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Saluzzo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Fossano haven't matched Saluzzo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Saluzzo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Saluzzo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fossano Clean Sheet 19%
Saluzzo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fossano Saluzzo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 11
Draws 4 10
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Saluzzo
0:3
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Saluzzo vs Fossano
2:0
Apr 3, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Saluzzo
2:1
Nov 20, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Saluzzo vs Fossano
2:0
Mar 13, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Saluzzo vs Fossano
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fossano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Saluzzo Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Arcangelo F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kone L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fossano 10 / 100
Saluzzo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fossano Saluzzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saluzzo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fossano found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Saluzzo let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Saluzzo
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fossano

(Home)
04 May
Chisola
5 : 0
Fossano
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
NovaRomentin
3 : 1
Fossano
13 Apr
Fossano
1 : 2
Derthona FbC
06 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 0
Fossano
Page 1 of 6

Saluzzo

(Away)
20 Sept
Sanremese
2 : 2
Saluzzo
16 Sept
Saluzzo
3 : 1
Celle Varazze
12 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 2
Saluzzo
06 Sept
Saluzzo
1 : 1
AS Biellese
03 May
Saluzzo
1 : 1
Derthona FbC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)