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Fostiras vs Aris Petroupolis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aris Petroupolis in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aris Petroupolis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Fostiras
20%
Draws
51%
Aris Petroupolis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aris Petroupolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Fostiras haven't matched Aris Petroupolis's recent run of results.
  • Fostiras are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Fostiras Clean Sheet 19%
Aris Petroupolis Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fostiras Aris Petroupolis
Matches Played 30 49
Wins 6 30
Draws 12 10
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Fostiras vs Aris Petroupolis
0:2
Sep 17, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Aris Petroupolis vs Fostiras
1:0
Apr 30, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Aris Petroupolis vs Fostiras
1:1
Feb 8, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Fostiras vs Aris Petroupolis
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fostiras 42 / 100
Aris Petroupolis 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fostiras Aris Petroupolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fostiras scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Aris Petroupolis has conceded goals in 47% of their last 49 outings.

Fostiras went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aris Petroupolis
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fostiras

(Home)
28 Apr
AO Proodeftiki
2 : 0
Fostiras
24 Apr
Fostiras
1 : 3
Peramaikos
20 Apr
Almyros Gaziou
1 : 0
Fostiras
14 Apr
Episkopi
2 : 2
Fostiras
07 Apr
Fostiras
6 : 0
Atromitos Piraeus
Page 1 of 6

Aris Petroupolis

(Away)
17 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 2
Pyrgos
13 May
Zakynthos
1 : 1
Aris Petroupolis
10 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0
Ethnikos Piraeus
03 May
Pyrgos
1 : 0
Aris Petroupolis
29 Apr
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0
Zakynthos
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panionios 34 26 6 2 81:22 84
2 Ethnikos Piraeus 34 20 12 2 61:19 72
3 Almyros Gaziou 34 17 12 5 59:28 63
4 Aris Petroupolis 34 18 6 10 47:38 60
5 AO Ilisiakos 34 16 9 9 43:29 57
6 Ipato 34 14 9 11 45:34 51
7 Atsalenios FC 34 14 8 12 41:33 50
8 Agios Nikolaos 34 14 10 10 55:38 49
9 Chaidari 34 13 10 11 39:29 49
10 Ellopiakos 34 13 9 12 45:43 48
11 AO Proodeftiki 34 14 6 14 47:38 48
12 Apollon Smyrnis 34 10 12 12 39:37 42
13 Ermis Zonianon 34 9 10 15 36:54 37
14 Episkopi 34 9 10 15 40:54 37
15 Peramaikos 34 9 3 22 32:58 30
16 Fostiras 34 6 13 15 29:40 28
17 Paraskevi 34 5 5 24 26:82 17
18 Atromitos Piraeus 34 3 2 29 16:105 11
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)