Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Foundry vs St. Marys

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Foundry in this Irish Cup 2014/2015 tie, finishing 6-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Foundry
6%
Draws
4%
St. Marys
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Foundry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Foundry lately — more wins on the board than St. Marys.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Foundry taking it.
  • Foundry have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Foundry, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
Foundry Clean Sheet 10%
St. Marys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foundry St. Marys
Matches Played 20 8
Wins 10 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 2.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.38 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2014 Irish Cup
Foundry vs St. Marys
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foundry 83 / 100
St. Marys 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foundry St. Marys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YHK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Foundry scored in 85% of their last 20 outings.

St. Marys has conceded goals in 100% of their last 8 outings.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

St. Marys's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Foundry VS St. Marys
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Foundry

(Home)
28 Sept
Greenisland
2 : 0
Foundry
17 Aug
Foundry
3 : 1
Bloomfield
29 Sept
Islandmagee
2 : 1
Foundry
18 Aug
Foundry
4 : 3
Aquinas
02 Dec
Lisburn Distillery
3 : 1
Foundry
Page 1 of 4

St. Marys

(Away)
07 Jan
Knockbreda
2 : 0
St. Marys
17 Aug
St. Marys
1 : 3
East Belfast
19 Aug
Bryansburn
3 : 1
St. Marys
01 Oct
St. Marys
4 : 5
Oxford Stars
07 Nov
Ards Rangers
4 : 1
St. Marys
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Crusaders-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Queens University-
TBD-
TBD-
Newington FC-
Brantwood2
Drumaness1
TBD-
Coagh Utd-
Lurgan Celtic-
TBD-
TBD-
Bangor FC-
Institute-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tandragee2
Banbridge Rangers0
TBD-
Loughgall-
Larne-
TBD-
TBD-
Dergview-
Foundry6
St. Marys1
TBD-
Carrick Rangers-
Glentoran-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Banbridge-
TBD-
TBD-
Ards-
Newtowne FC5
East Belfast3
U. U. Jordanstown0
Crumlin United3
Shankill2
Abbey Villa1
TBD-
Armagh-
Ballyclare-
TBD-
TBD-
Donegal-
Bangor Old Boys2
Rathfriland Rangers1
TBD-
Annagh-
Ballinamallard-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dungannon-
Harland & Wolff-
TBD-
TBD-
Dollingstown-
Wakehurst-
TBD-
Oxford Stars2
Derriaghy4
Moyola-
TBD-
TBD-
Glebe-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Glenavon-
Cliftonville-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sport & Leisure-
TBD-
Lisburn Rangers2
Ards Rangers7
Crumlin Star2
Immaculata0
TBD-
Lisburn Distillery-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ballymena-
Portadown-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Knockbreda-
TBD-
TBD-
PSNI-
Dundela-
TBD-
TBD-
Ballymoney-
Newry City4
Hanover0
TBD-
Portstewart-
Warrenpoint-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Coleraine-
Tobermore-
TBD-
TBD-
Limavady-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Linfield-
1/32-finals
Crusaders-
TBD-
Queens University2
Newington FC3
Brantwood2
Coagh Utd0
Lurgan Celtic1
Bangor FC2
Institute-
TBD-
Tandragee2
Loughgall6
Larne1
Dergview0
Foundry1
Carrick Rangers4
Glentoran-
TBD-
Banbridge1
Ards4
Newtowne FC4
Crumlin United1
Shankill0
Armagh2
Ballyclare3
Donegal2
Bangor Old Boys0
Annagh3
Ballinamallard-
TBD-
TBD-
Dungannon-
Harland & Wolff2
Dollingstown0
Wakehurst2
Derriaghy3
Moyola3
Glebe2
TBD-
Glenavon-
Cliftonville-
TBD-
Sport & Leisure2
Ards Rangers6
Crumlin Star1
Lisburn Distillery0
TBD-
Ballymena-
Portadown-
TBD-
Knockbreda1
PSNI2
Dundela4
Ballymoney1
Newry City1
Portstewart2
Warrenpoint-
TBD-
TBD-
Coleraine-
Tobermore3
Limavady1
TBD-
Linfield-
1/16-finals
Crusaders6
Newington FC0
Brantwood0
Bangor FC4
Institute5
Loughgall1
Larne1
Carrick Rangers2
Glentoran2
Ards0
Newtowne FC0
Armagh3
Ballyclare3
Annagh1
Ballinamallard2
Dungannon4
Harland & Wolff2
Derriaghy0
Moyola2
Glenavon3
Cliftonville6
Ards Rangers0
Crumlin Star0
Ballymena4
Portadown2
PSNI1
Dundela2
Portstewart3
Warrenpoint3
Coleraine1
Tobermore0
Linfield2
1/8-finals
Crusaders2
Bangor FC0
Institute1
Carrick Rangers3
Glentoran4
Armagh1
Ballyclare0
Dungannon1
Harland & Wolff2
Glenavon0
Cliftonville1
Ballymena2
Portadown2
Portstewart0
Warrenpoint0
Linfield5
Quarter-finals
Crusaders4
Carrick Rangers1
Glentoran3
Dungannon0
Harland & Wolff2
Ballymena3
Portadown3
Linfield2
Semi-finals
Crusaders0
Glentoran1
Ballymena1
Portadown3
Final
Glentoran1
Portadown0