Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Foundry vs St. Marys

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2014/2015
Foundry Logo

Foundry

6 - 1
FT
St. Marys Logo

St. Marys

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Foundry in this Irish Cup 2014/2015 tie, finishing 6-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Foundry
15%
Draws
0%
St. Marys
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Foundry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Foundry lately — more wins on the board than St. Marys.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Foundry taking it.
  • Foundry have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Foundry, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
Foundry Clean Sheet 10%
St. Marys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foundry St. Marys
Matches Played 20 8
Wins 10 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 2.65 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.3 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2014 Irish Cup
Foundry vs St. Marys
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foundry 83 / 100
St. Marys 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foundry St. Marys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Foundry Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Foundry scored in 85% of their last 20 outings.

St. Marys has conceded goals in 100% of their last 8 outings.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

St. Marys's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Foundry VS St. Marys
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Foundry

(Home)
28 Sept
Greenisland
2 : 0
Foundry
17 Aug
Foundry
3 : 1
Bloomfield
29 Sept
Islandmagee
2 : 1
Foundry
18 Aug
Foundry
4 : 3
Aquinas
02 Dec
Lisburn Distillery
3 : 1
Foundry
Page 1 of 4

St. Marys

(Away)
07 Jan
Knockbreda
2 : 0
St. Marys
17 Aug
St. Marys
1 : 3
East Belfast
19 Aug
Bryansburn
3 : 1
St. Marys
01 Oct
St. Marys
4 : 5
Oxford Stars
07 Nov
Ards Rangers
4 : 1
St. Marys
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Brantwood 2
Drumaness 1
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tandragee 2
Banbridge Rangers 0
TBD -
Loughgall -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Foundry 6
St. Marys 1
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Newtowne FC 5
East Belfast 3
U. U. Jordanstown 0
Crumlin United 3
Shankill 2
Abbey Villa 1
TBD -
Armagh -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Bangor Old Boys 2
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Annagh -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Wakehurst -
TBD -
Oxford Stars 2
Derriaghy 4
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
Lisburn Rangers 2
Ards Rangers 7
Crumlin Star 2
Immaculata 0
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Newry City 4
Hanover 0
TBD -
Portstewart -
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Tobermore -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
1/32-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
Queens University 2
Newington FC 3
Brantwood 2
Coagh Utd 0
Lurgan Celtic 1
Bangor FC 2
Institute -
TBD -
Tandragee 2
Loughgall 6
Larne 1
Dergview 0
Foundry 1
Carrick Rangers 4
Glentoran -
TBD -
Banbridge 1
Ards 4
Newtowne FC 4
Crumlin United 1
Shankill 0
Armagh 2
Ballyclare 3
Donegal 2
Bangor Old Boys 0
Annagh 3
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Harland & Wolff 2
Dollingstown 0
Wakehurst 2
Derriaghy 3
Moyola 3
Glebe 2
TBD -
Glenavon -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure 2
Ards Rangers 6
Crumlin Star 1
Lisburn Distillery 0
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portadown -
TBD -
Knockbreda 1
PSNI 2
Dundela 4
Ballymoney 1
Newry City 1
Portstewart 2
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Tobermore 3
Limavady 1
TBD -
Linfield -
1/16-finals
Crusaders 6
Newington FC 0
Brantwood 0
Bangor FC 4
Institute 5
Loughgall 1
Larne 1
Carrick Rangers 2
Glentoran 2
Ards 0
Newtowne FC 0
Armagh 3
Ballyclare 3
Annagh 1
Ballinamallard 2
Dungannon 4
Harland & Wolff 2
Derriaghy 0
Moyola 2
Glenavon 3
Cliftonville 6
Ards Rangers 0
Crumlin Star 0
Ballymena 4
Portadown 2
PSNI 1
Dundela 2
Portstewart 3
Warrenpoint 3
Coleraine 1
Tobermore 0
Linfield 2
1/8-finals
Crusaders 2
Bangor FC 0
Institute 1
Carrick Rangers 3
Glentoran 4
Armagh 1
Ballyclare 0
Dungannon 1
Harland & Wolff 2
Glenavon 0
Cliftonville 1
Ballymena 2
Portadown 2
Portstewart 0
Warrenpoint 0
Linfield 5
Quarter-finals
Crusaders 4
Carrick Rangers 1
Glentoran 3
Dungannon 0
Harland & Wolff 2
Ballymena 3
Portadown 3
Linfield 2
Semi-finals
Crusaders 0
Glentoran 1
Ballymena 1
Portadown 3
Final
Glentoran 1
Portadown 0