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Fountain Gate vs Geita Gold - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024
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Match Events

7' Event
Gyan N.
18' Event
Kadikilo A.
Assist: Kaseke D.
54' Event
Kyaruzi E.
Assist: Mligo A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024 game between Fountain Gate and Geita Gold finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fountain Gate.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Fountain Gate
20%
Draws
40%
Geita Gold
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Fountain Gate carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Fountain Gate Clean Sheet 68%
Geita Gold Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fountain Gate Geita Gold
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 9 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0.81 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Geita Gold
2:1
Dec 21, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Geita Gold vs Fountain Gate
1:0
Dec 30, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Geita Gold
2:1
Sep 21, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Geita Gold vs Fountain Gate
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fountain Gate Compare

Top Goalscorer Gyan N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kadikilo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Geita Gold Compare

Top Goalscorer Kyaruzi E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fountain Gate 42 / 100
Geita Gold 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fountain Gate Geita Gold

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Geita Gold let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Geita Gold's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Fountain Gate scored in 47% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fountain Gate VS Geita Gold
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fountain Gate

(Home)
13 Sept
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1
Fountain Gate
31 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Young Africans
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Mbeya City
25 Aug
Namungo
1 : 0
Fountain Gate
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0
Mashujaa
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Geita Gold

(Away)
08 Oct
Pamba
4 : 0
Geita Gold
15 Sept
Young Africans
1 : 0
Geita Gold
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0
Geita Gold
28 Aug
Geita Gold
2 : 2
Azam
22 Aug
Geita Gold
6 : 2
Kagera Sugar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 26 2 2 71:14 80
2 Azam 30 21 6 3 63:21 69
3 Simba 30 21 6 3 59:25 69
4 Coastal Union 30 11 10 9 22:19 43
5 Kinondoni MC 30 8 13 9 27:39 37
6 Namungo 30 8 12 10 27:29 36
7 Singida Black Stars 30 9 9 12 29:36 36
8 Mashujaa 30 9 8 13 30:33 35
9 Tanzania Prisons 30 7 13 10 29:35 34
10 Kagera Sugar 30 7 13 10 23:32 34
11 Fountain Gate 30 8 9 13 29:39 33
12 Dodoma Jiji 30 8 9 13 19:32 33
13 JKT Tanzania 30 6 14 10 21:30 32
14 TRA United 30 5 12 13 20:41 27
15 Geita Gold 30 5 10 15 18:38 25
16 Mtibwa Sugar 30 5 6 19 30:54 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024 (Relegation)