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Fountain Gate vs Geita Gold

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Gyan N.
18' Event
Kadikilo A.
Assist: Kaseke D.
54' Event
Kyaruzi E.
Assist: Mligo A.

AI Match Summary

Fountain Gate play Geita Gold in the Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Fountain Gate averaged 0.63 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. Geita Gold averaged 0 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Fountain Gate won 2, Geita Gold won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 25, 2024 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Fountain Gate and 1.56 for Geita Gold. This points to a Fountain Gate double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Fountain Gate
11%
Draws
9%
Geita Gold
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Fountain Gate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Fountain Gate has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Geita Gold.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Fountain Gate.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Fountain Gate Clean Sheet 68%
Geita Gold Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fountain Gate Geita Gold
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 1
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Geita Gold
2:1
Dec 21, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Geita Gold vs Fountain Gate
1:0
Dec 30, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Geita Gold
2:1
Sep 21, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Geita Gold vs Fountain Gate
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fountain Gate Compare

Top Goalscorer Gyan N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kadikilo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Geita Gold Compare

Top Goalscorer Kyaruzi E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fountain Gate 86 / 100
Geita Gold 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fountain Gate Geita Gold

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fountain Gate scored in 50% of their last 34 games.

Geita Gold let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Fountain Gate went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Geita Gold lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fountain Gate VS Geita Gold
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Young Africans30262271:1480
2Azam30216363:2169
3Simba30216359:2569
4Coastal Union301110922:1943
5Kinondoni MC30813927:3937
6Namungo308121027:2936
7Singida Black Stars30991229:3636
8Mashujaa30981330:3335
9Tanzania Prisons307131029:3534
10Kagera Sugar307131023:3234
11Fountain Gate30891329:3933
12Dodoma Jiji30891319:3233
13JKT Tanzania306141021:3032
14TRA United305121320:4127
15Geita Gold305101518:3825
16Mtibwa Sugar30561930:5421