Sport Picks
Fountain Gate vs Pamba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara Kwaraa Stadium, Babati 
AI Match Summary
Fountain Gate host Pamba in the Ligi Kuu Bara. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Pamba have shipped 1.53 goals a game lately, while Fountain Gate have conceded 1.63 and scored 0.88. Past meetings favor Pamba slightly — 0-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 30, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.38 - 1.06) back Fountain Gate to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Fountain Gate come out ahead of Pamba on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Fountain Gate's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Pamba here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fountain Gate | Pamba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pamba has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Difficult form: Pamba registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Fountain Gate found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (32 games).
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Fountain Gate
(Home)Pamba
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Simba | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 18 |
| 3 | Azam | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 10 |
| 5 | Polisi Tanzania | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 6 | Mbeya City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 10 |
| 7 | Dodoma Jiji | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 10 |
| 8 | Mashujaa | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 9 |
| 9 | Geita Gold | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 7 |
| 10 | JKT Tanzania | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 11 | Coastal Union | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 7 |
| 12 | TRA United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 13 | Namungo | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:11 | 6 |
| 14 | Fountain Gate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:9 | 4 |
| 15 | Kagera Sugar | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:14 | 2 |
| 16 | Pamba | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | 1 |
