Sport Picks
Fountain Gate vs Pamba
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Kwaraa Stadium, Babati 
Match Events
18'
18'
Yonta Camara A.
34'
34'
Obasi C.
Assist: Awara O.
45'
45'
Nakibinge J.
AI Match Summary
The Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 game between Fountain Gate and Pamba finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pamba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fountain Gate
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Pamba haven't matched Fountain Gate's recent run of results.
- Fountain Gate are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Pamba have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Fountain Gate Clean Sheet 68%
Pamba Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fountain Gate | Pamba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 18 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 0.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 30, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Pamba
1:2
Nov 23, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs Fountain Gate
1:0
Apr 8, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs Fountain Gate
1:1
Nov 5, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Pamba
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fountain Gate Compare
Top Goalscorer Obasi C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Pamba Compare
Top Goalscorer Yonta Camara A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nakibinge J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fountain Gate 50 / 100
Pamba 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fountain Gate Pamba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fountain Gate Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pamba's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Defensive concern: Pamba conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Fountain Gate scored in 49% of their last 35 games.
Scoring Trends
Fountain Gate VS Pamba
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Fountain Gate
(Home) 13 Sept
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1 Fountain Gate
31 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Young Africans
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Mbeya City
25 Aug
Namungo
1 : 0 Fountain Gate
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0 Mashujaa
Page 1 of 7
31 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Young Africans
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Mbeya City
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0 Mashujaa
30 Jun
Fountain Gate
4 : 3 Singida Black Stars
24 Jun
Fountain Gate
0 : 1 Mashujaa
Page 1 of 4
Pamba
(Away) 13 Sept
Pamba
1 : 3 TRA United
05 Sept
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0 Pamba
28 Aug
Young Africans
2 : 0 Pamba
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1 Pamba
19 Aug
Pamba
1 : 2 Simba
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0 Pamba
28 Aug
Young Africans
2 : 0 Pamba
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1 Pamba
30 Jun
Coastal Union
2 : 1 Pamba
14 Jun
Simba
2 : 1 Pamba
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 71:9 | 75 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 54:11 | 73 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 46:12 | 64 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 47:35 | 50 |
| 5 | TRA United | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:28 | 43 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 7 | Pamba | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Coastal Union | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 25:36 | 35 |
| 10 | Namungo | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 25:32 | 34 |
| 11 | Mashujaa | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 15:27 | 33 |
| 12 | Fountain Gate | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25:44 | 33 |
| 13 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 23:41 | 32 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24:41 | 30 |
| 15 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 25:48 | 27 |
| 16 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16:53 | 9 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)
