Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Kwaraa Stadium

Fountain Gate

1 - 2

Pamba

Our Tip

Match Events

18'

Yonta Camara A.

34'

Obasi C.

Assist: Awara O.

45'

Nakibinge J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara game between Fountain Gate and Pamba finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pamba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Fountain Gate

30%

Draws

34%

Pamba

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fountain Gate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Pamba have managed 1.13 goals a game lately — Fountain Gate are scoring more at 1.25.
Fountain Gate are the model's pick here, at 36%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Pamba have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%

Fountain Gate Clean Sheet 68%

Pamba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fountain Gate	Pamba
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	9
Draws	6	8
Losses	15	13
Goals Scored	1.25	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Fountain Gate vs Pamba

Possession: 53% - 51% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Nov 23, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Pamba vs Fountain Gate

Possession: 51% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Apr 8, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Pamba vs Fountain Gate

Possession: 47% - 56% Cards: 2 - 0

1:1

Nov 5, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Fountain Gate vs Pamba

Possession: 49% - 51% Cards: 4 - 2

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fountain Gate Compare

Top Goalscorer Obasi C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Pamba Compare

Top Goalscorer Yonta Camara A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Nakibinge J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fountain Gate 46 / 100

Pamba 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fountain Gate Pamba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pamba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Pamba lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Fountain Gate scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Fountain Gate VS Pamba

1.25 Goals Scored 1.13

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9