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Foutoua vs Damascus Al Ahli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Syria Syria

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Al Ahmad M.
Own Goal
44' Event
55' Event
Karak Y.

AI Match Summary

Foutoua in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Foutoua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Foutoua
15%
Draws
68%
Damascus Al Ahli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Damascus Al Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Foutoua haven't matched Damascus Al Ahli's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Damascus Al Ahli a 68% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Foutoua have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Foutoua Clean Sheet 13%
Damascus Al Ahli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foutoua Damascus Al Ahli
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.24 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Premier League
Damascus Al Ahli vs Foutoua
3:2
Mar 23, 2026 Premier League
Foutoua vs Damascus Al Ahli
4:1
May 30, 2023 Premier League
Foutoua vs Damascus Al Ahli
4:1
Feb 3, 2023 Premier League
Damascus Al Ahli vs Foutoua
0:2
Jul 10, 2017 Syria Cup
Damascus Al Ahli vs Foutoua
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Foutoua Compare

Top Goalscorer Karak Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Hussein A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Damascus Al Ahli Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foutoua 10 / 100
Damascus Al Ahli 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foutoua Damascus Al Ahli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Damascus Al Ahli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Damascus Al Ahli let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Foutoua scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Foutoua went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Foutoua VS Damascus Al Ahli
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Foutoua

(Home)
04 Jul
Damascus Al Ahli
3 : 2
Foutoua
28 Jun
Foutoua
4 : 3
Khan Shaykhun
24 Jun
Homs Al Fidaa
4 : 0
Foutoua
19 Jun
Al Jaish
1 : 0
Foutoua
12 Jun
Foutoua
2 : 4
Al Karamah
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Damascus Al Ahli

(Away)
04 Jul
Damascus Al Ahli
3 : 2
Foutoua
28 Jun
Hottin
2 : 3
Damascus Al Ahli
24 Jun
Damascus Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Jaish
19 Jun
Horriya
2 : 3
Damascus Al Ahli
13 Jun
Damascus Al Ahli
4 : 1
Jableh
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ittihad Aleppo 30 22 7 1 83:25 73
2 Homs Al Fidaa 30 22 6 2 55:12 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 53:24 62
4 Al Karamah 30 17 7 6 55:30 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 33:37 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
8 Al Jaish 30 10 11 9 23:30 41
9 Damascus Al Ahli 30 11 6 13 37:44 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 30:34 35
11 Al Shorta 30 8 9 13 29:47 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 36:53 30
13 Umayya 30 5 9 16 27:44 24
14 Khan Shaykhun 30 6 5 19 26:53 23
15 Jableh 30 6 4 20 27:60 22
16 Al Shouleh 30 4 5 21 14:51 17
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