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Foutoua vs Umayya

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Al Hussein A.
33' Event
Al Nayef A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Foutoua and Umayya finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Foutoua
15%
Draws
57%
Umayya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Umayya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Foutoua carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Umayya taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Foutoua Clean Sheet 16%
Umayya Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foutoua Umayya
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 3 9
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.2 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Premier League
Foutoua vs Umayya
1:1
Jan 16, 2026 Premier League
Umayya vs Foutoua
1:3
Apr 15, 2011 Premier League
Foutoua vs Umayya
0:0
Dec 3, 2010 Premier League
Umayya vs Foutoua
2:0
Mar 31, 2009 Premier League
Foutoua vs Umayya
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Foutoua Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Hussein A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Umayya Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Nayef A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foutoua 23 / 100
Umayya 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foutoua Umayya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umayya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Umayya conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Umayya lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Foutoua scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Foutoua VS Umayya
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Foutoua

(Home)
04 Jul
Damascus Al-Ahli
3 : 2
Foutoua
28 Jun
Foutoua
4 : 3
Khan Shaykhun
24 Jun
Homs Al Fidaa
4 : 0
Foutoua
19 Jun
Al Jaish
1 : 0
Foutoua
12 Jun
Foutoua
2 : 4
Al Karamah
Page 1 of 6

Umayya

(Away)
04 Jul
Al Karamah
2 : 1
Umayya
01 Jul
Umayya
1 : 2
Al Shorta
24 Jun
Al-Shouleh
0 : 1
Umayya
19 Jun
Umayya
1 : 0
Al Taliya
13 Jun
Tishreen
3 : 1
Umayya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad Aleppo 30 22 7 1 83:25 73
2 Homs Al Fidaa 30 22 6 2 55:12 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 53:24 62
4 Al Karamah 30 17 7 6 55:30 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 33:37 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
8 Al Jaish 30 10 11 9 23:30 41
9 Damascus Al-Ahli 30 11 6 13 37:44 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 30:34 35
11 Al Shorta 30 8 9 13 29:47 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 36:53 30
13 Umayya 30 5 9 16 27:44 24
14 Khan Shaykhun 30 6 5 19 26:53 23
15 Jableh 30 6 4 20 27:60 22
16 Al-Shouleh 30 4 5 21 14:51 17
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)