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Fraga vs Almudevar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Sun, Sep 13, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fraga host Almudevar in the Tercera RFEF - Group 17. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Fraga at 1.1 goals for, 1.52 against; Almudevar at 1.25 for, 1.13 against. Head-to-head, Fraga have won 2 to Almudevar's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 11, 2025, ending 5:1. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 0.81) point toward Almudevar. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Fraga
15%
Draws
39%
Almudevar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fraga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Almudevar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Fraga are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 17 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fraga Clean Sheet 20%
Almudevar Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fraga Almudevar
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Fraga
5:1
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs Almudevar
2:0
Apr 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs Almudevar
2:1
Nov 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Fraga
1:1
May 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs Almudevar
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fraga 42 / 100
Almudevar 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fraga Almudevar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Fraga scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Almudevar has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Fraga stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fraga VS Almudevar
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fraga

(Home)
05 Sept
Robres
1 : 2
Fraga
11 May
Almudevar
5 : 1
Fraga
04 May
Fraga
2 : 0
Andorra CF
27 Apr
Binefar
3 : 1
Fraga
17 Apr
Fraga
0 : 0
Zuera
Page 1 of 6

Almudevar

(Away)
06 Sept
Almudevar
1 : 0
SD Ejea
10 May
Almudevar
3 : 2
Huesca B
03 May
CD Cuarte
2 : 0
Almudevar
23 Apr
Almudevar
0 : 1
CF Illueca
19 Apr
CD Caspe
2 : 0
Almudevar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Caspe 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Binefar 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
3 CD Cuarte 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
4 Epila 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
5 Zaragoza B 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
6 Fraga 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 Almudevar 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 La Almunia 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
9 Huesca B 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
10 CD Belchite 97 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Brea 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
12 Robres 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Tamarite 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
14 SD Ejea 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Andorra CF 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
16 CF Illueca 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
17 CD Sietamo 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
18 Atletico Monzon 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 (Play Offs)