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Fraga vs Binefar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fraga host Binefar in the Tercera RFEF - Group 17. Little to choose between these two on current form. Fraga have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Binefar's 1.84 scored and 1.53 conceded. Past meetings favor Fraga slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 27, 2025, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.65) back Binefar to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Fraga
30%
Draws
23%
Binefar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fraga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Binefar come out ahead of Fraga on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Fraga taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Fraga Clean Sheet 13%
Binefar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fraga Binefar
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 8 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs Fraga
3:1
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs Binefar
2:2
Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs Binefar
0:0
Oct 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs Fraga
2:2
Mar 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs Binefar
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fraga 84 / 100
Binefar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fraga Binefar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fraga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fraga found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Binefar conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Fraga has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fraga VS Binefar
1 Goals Scored 2.63
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
17% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fraga

(Home)
04 Oct
Fraga
1 : 2
Zaragoza B
26 Sept
Huesca B
0 : 0
Fraga
20 Sept
Atletico Monzon
0 : 0
Fraga
13 Sept
Fraga
3 : 1
Almudevar
05 Sept
Robres
1 : 2
Fraga
Page 1 of 6

Binefar

(Away)
03 Oct
Robres
1 : 2
Binefar
27 Sept
Binefar
2 : 2
CD Caspe
19 Sept
La Almunia
2 : 1
Binefar
16 Sept
Terrassa
4 : 0
Binefar
13 Sept
Binefar
2 : 3
Tamarite
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaragoza B 5 4 1 0 11:3 13
2 SD Ejea 5 4 0 1 9:4 12
3 Brea 5 3 2 0 9:2 11
4 Atletico Monzon 5 3 1 1 8:7 10
5 CD Cuarte 5 3 0 2 11:6 9
6 CD Caspe 5 2 2 1 9:6 8
7 Fraga 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
8 Binefar 5 2 1 2 11:10 7
9 Epila 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
10 La Almunia 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
11 Almudevar 5 2 0 3 7:6 6
12 Tamarite 5 2 0 3 7:8 6
13 Huesca B 5 1 3 1 4:5 6
14 CF Illueca 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
15 CD Sietamo 5 1 1 3 7:10 4
16 Andorra CF 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
17 Robres 5 0 1 4 6:13 1
18 CD Belchite 97 5 0 1 4 2:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 (Play Offs)