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Fraga vs Epila

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Araiz D.
74' Event
Rivera Ferrer N.
78'
Puch N.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 game between Fraga and Epila finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Fraga
20%
Draws
33%
Epila
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fraga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Epila carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Fraga are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Fraga Clean Sheet 20%
Epila Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fraga Epila
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 18
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.1 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs Epila
1:1
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Epila vs Fraga
1:1
Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Epila vs Fraga
2:1
Sep 10, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs Epila
2:2
May 9, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Epila vs Fraga
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fraga Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivera Ferrer N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Epila Compare

Top Goalscorer Araiz D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fraga 42 / 100
Epila 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fraga Epila

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fraga found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Fraga remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Epila conceded in 37% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Fraga VS Epila
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fraga

(Home)
20 Sept
Atletico Monzon
0 : 0
Fraga
13 Sept
Fraga
3 : 1
Almudevar
05 Sept
Robres
1 : 2
Fraga
11 May
Almudevar
5 : 1
Fraga
04 May
Fraga
2 : 0
Andorra CF
Page 1 of 6

Epila

(Away)
20 Sept
Tamarite
1 : 2
Epila
12 Sept
Epila
0 : 0
Andorra CF
06 Sept
CD Sietamo
0 : 2
Epila
24 May
Atletico Monzon
1 : 0
Epila
16 May
Epila
0 : 1
Atletico Monzon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebro 34 19 8 7 49:20 65
2 Huesca B 34 17 7 10 49:36 58
3 CD Cuarte 34 15 12 7 38:25 57
4 Atletico Monzon 34 16 9 9 52:35 57
5 Binefar 34 14 14 6 44:27 56
6 Zuera 34 13 10 11 38:29 49
7 Calamocha 34 11 14 9 41:37 47
8 Epila 34 12 11 11 31:30 47
9 Tamarite 34 12 10 12 41:43 46
10 Utrillas 34 10 11 13 29:39 41
11 CD Caspe 34 10 11 13 27:31 41
12 Andorra CF 34 8 16 10 34:38 40
13 Almudevar 34 9 12 13 30:36 39
14 CD Belchite 97 34 9 12 13 35:34 39
15 La Almunia 34 11 6 17 33:45 39
16 Fraga 34 9 10 15 38:53 37
17 Brea 34 9 8 17 26:43 35
18 Fuentes 34 9 5 20 20:54 32
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 (Play Offs)