Sport Picks
Fram vs Hafnarfjordur
Iceland
Besta deild karla Laugardalsvöllur, Reykjavík 
AI Match Summary
Fram host Hafnarfjordur in the Besta deild karla. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Fram have averaged 2.5 scored and 1.88 conceded recently, against Hafnarfjordur's 0.88 scored and 2.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Fram slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 3:4. xG projections (2.38 - 1.38) back Fram to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Fram lately — more wins on the board than Hafnarfjordur.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Fram here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fram | Hafnarfjordur |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 4 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.5 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 2.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fram scored in 93% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Hafnarfjordur conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.
Solid form: Fram remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Fram
(Home)Hafnarfjordur
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 49:11 | 40 |
| 2 | KR Reykjavik | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 58:36 | 35 |
| 3 | Fram | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 41:28 | 33 |
| 4 | Breidablik | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 34:26 | 25 |
| 5 | Valur | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 26:32 | 19 |
| 6 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 26:33 | 16 |
| 7 | Keflavik | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 19:26 | 16 |
| 8 | Stjarnan | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 28:36 | 15 |
| 9 | Akranes | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19:28 | 15 |
| 10 | KA Akureyri | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 24:32 | 14 |
| 11 | Hafnarfjordur | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 20:31 | 11 |
| 12 | Thor Akureyri | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 17:42 | 11 |
