Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fram vs Stjarnan

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Laugardalsvöllur, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Hauksson R.
Assist: Fred Saraiva
34' Event
Atlason E.
Assist: Gunnarsson J.
38'
Dimitrijevic V.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between Fram and Stjarnan finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fram.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Fram
30%
Draws
39%
Stjarnan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stjarnan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Fram carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43.2%
Fram Clean Sheet 11%
Stjarnan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fram Stjarnan
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 15 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.62 1.84
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Besta deild karla
Fram vs Stjarnan
3:1
May 22, 2026 Besta deild karla
Stjarnan vs Fram
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 League Cup
Fram vs Stjarnan
2:3
Oct 20, 2025 Besta deild karla
Fram vs Stjarnan
1:1
Aug 6, 2025 Besta deild karla
Fram vs Stjarnan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fram Compare

Top Goalscorer Hauksson R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Aegisson M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Stjarnan Compare

Top Goalscorer Atlason E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fram 35 / 100
Stjarnan 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fram Stjarnan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stjarnan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:6
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fram's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Stjarnan let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Fram remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fram VS Stjarnan
2 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Fram

(Home)
15 Sept
Fram
1 : 3
Breidablik
06 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
2 : 2
Fram
30 Aug
Fram
2 : 2
KA Akureyri
24 Aug
Breidablik
3 : 4
Fram
17 Aug
Fram
3 : 1
Stjarnan
Page 1 of 6

Stjarnan

(Away)
13 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
06 Sept
Stjarnan
2 : 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
31 Aug
Breidablik
0 : 2
Stjarnan
23 Aug
Stjarnan
4 : 2
Thor Akureyri
17 Aug
Fram
3 : 1
Stjarnan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)