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Fram vs Valur

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Laugardalsvöllur, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Haraldsson T.
10' Event
Chopart K.
Assist: Jonasson A.
14' Event
Palsson A.
Assist: Haraldsson T.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between Fram and Valur finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fram.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Fram
20%
Draws
23%
Valur
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fram

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fram come out ahead of Valur on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Fram taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Fram have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Fram Clean Sheet 16%
Valur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fram Valur
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 2.66 1.64
Goals Conceded 2 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Besta deild karla
Valur vs Fram
2:3
May 8, 2026 Besta deild karla
Fram vs Valur
3:2
Sep 28, 2025 Besta deild karla
Fram vs Valur
2:0
Aug 31, 2025 Besta deild karla
Fram vs Valur
2:1
Jun 2, 2025 Besta deild karla
Valur vs Fram
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fram Compare

Top Goalscorer Chopart K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bystrom J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Valur Compare

Top Goalscorer Haraldsson T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Palsson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fram 84 / 100
Valur 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fram Valur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fram Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fram scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Valur's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Fram went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fram VS Valur
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fram

(Home)
24 Aug
Breidablik
3 : 4
Fram
17 Aug
Fram
3 : 1
Stjarnan
10 Aug
Fram
2 : 5
KR Reykjavik
01 Aug
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1 : 2
Fram
26 Jul
Fram
0 : 0
Hafnarfjordur
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Valur

(Away)
23 Aug
Vikingur Reykjavik
2 : 0
Valur
17 Aug
Valur
4 : 4
KA Akureyri
13 Aug
Nordsjaelland
5 : 0
Valur
09 Aug
Breidablik
1 : 3
Valur
06 Aug
Valur
0 : 2
Nordsjaelland
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 20 16 3 1 64:18 51
2 KR Reykjavik 20 13 4 3 72:45 43
3 Fram 20 13 4 3 52:38 43
4 Breidablik 20 8 6 6 42:37 30
5 Keflavik 20 8 4 8 31:34 28
6 Akranes 20 7 5 8 34:38 26
7 Stjarnan 20 7 3 10 38:48 24
8 Valur 20 7 2 11 35:42 23
9 Hafnarfjordur 20 3 9 8 25:37 18
10 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 20 4 5 11 30:42 17
11 KA Akureyri 20 4 4 12 31:45 16
12 Thor Akureyri 20 4 3 13 20:50 15
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)