Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Francana vs Rio Branco SP

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Pablo

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A3 game between Francana and Rio Branco SP finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rio Branco SP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Francana
15%
Draws
57%
Rio Branco SP
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rio Branco SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Francana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Francana a 28% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Francana Clean Sheet 68%
Rio Branco SP Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Francana Rio Branco SP
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 8 5
Draws 10 12
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 Paulista A3
Francana vs Rio Branco SP
0:1
Feb 5, 2025 Paulista A3
Rio Branco SP vs Francana
1:1
May 12, 2024 Paulista A4
Francana vs Rio Branco SP
1:2
May 4, 2024 Paulista A4
Rio Branco SP vs Francana
2:0
Feb 25, 2024 Paulista A4
Francana vs Rio Branco SP
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Francana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Rio Branco SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Pablo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Francana 68 / 100
Rio Branco SP 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Francana Rio Branco SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Francana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Francana found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (33 games).

Rio Branco SP's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Difficult form: Rio Branco SP registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Francana VS Rio Branco SP
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Francana

(Home)
21 Mar
Marilia
2 : 0
Francana
15 Mar
Francana
3 : 0
Rio Claro
11 Mar
Uniao Sao Joao
2 : 1
Francana
08 Mar
Portuguesa Santista
1 : 0
Francana
04 Mar
Francana
1 : 3
Rio Preto EC
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Rio Branco SP

(Away)
21 Mar
Rio Branco SP
0 : 2
Bandeirante
14 Mar
Uniao Suzano
1 : 2
Rio Branco SP
11 Mar
Rio Branco SP
3 : 2
Itapirense
07 Mar
Rio Branco SP
0 : 2
Marilia
04 Mar
EC Sao Bernardo
4 : 0
Rio Branco SP
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa Santista 15 12 0 3 26:9 36
2 Marilia 15 9 5 1 23:6 32
3 Rio Preto EC 15 8 5 2 24:13 29
4 XV de Jau 15 8 3 4 16:11 27
5 Rio Claro 15 7 4 4 19:16 25
6 Uniao Barbarense 15 6 6 3 16:14 24
7 EC Sao Bernardo 15 6 5 4 22:15 23
8 Paulista 15 6 5 4 20:13 23
9 Uniao Sao Joao 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
10 Catanduva FC 15 5 6 4 16:15 21
11 Bandeirante 15 4 6 5 15:19 18
12 Rio Branco SP 15 4 4 7 13:24 16
13 Francana 15 3 1 11 13:22 10
14 Itapirense 15 2 3 10 14:26 9
15 Desportivo 15 1 5 9 8:25 8
16 Uniao Suzano 15 1 2 12 10:28 5
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)