Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Francavilla vs Brindisi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Barbero V.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H game between Francavilla and Brindisi finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brindisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Francavilla
15%
Draws
85%
Brindisi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brindisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Francavilla carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Francavilla are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Francavilla Clean Sheet 20%
Brindisi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Francavilla Brindisi
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.09 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.51 1.01
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Brindisi
0:1
May 4, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Brindisi vs Francavilla
0:0
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Brindisi
1:0
Jan 8, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Brindisi vs Francavilla
0:0
Sep 4, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Brindisi
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Francavilla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.16
Avg xA / game 0.76

Brindisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Barbero V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Francavilla 42 / 100
Brindisi 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Francavilla Brindisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Francavilla scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Brindisi let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Brindisi registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Francavilla VS Brindisi
1.88 Goals Scored 1.14
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.14
75% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Francavilla

(Home)
04 Oct
Martina Calcio
1 : 0
Francavilla
27 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Brindisi
20 Sept
Melfi
2 : 1
Francavilla
16 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Palmese 1914
13 Sept
Bisceglie
2 : 1
Francavilla
Page 1 of 7

Brindisi

(Away)
04 Oct
Brindisi
3 : 0
Real Normanna
27 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Brindisi
20 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 2
Turris
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1
Brindisi
12 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 0
Fidelis Andria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virtus Francavilla 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 Nocerina 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
3 Martina Calcio 6 4 0 2 12:7 12
4 Bisceglie 6 4 0 2 11:6 12
5 Turris 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
6 Gravina 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
7 Manfredonia 6 3 2 1 10:6 11
8 Real Normanna 6 3 1 2 10:10 10
9 Brindisi 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Ebolitana 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
11 Real Forio 2014 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
12 San Felice Gladiator 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
13 Palmese 1914 6 2 1 3 9:12 7
14 A.C.D. Nardo 6 1 2 3 5:11 5
15 Melfi 6 1 1 4 2:6 4
16 Fidelis Andria 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
17 Francavilla 6 1 0 5 3:7 3
18 Ischia 6 0 2 4 7:12 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)