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Francavilla vs Citta di Fasano

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D
Wed, Nov 19, 2025
3 - 2
01:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Croce A.
25' Event
Ciaramella A.
52' Event
De Angelis P.

AI Match Summary

Francavilla in this Coppa Italia Serie D matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Francavilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Francavilla
28%
Draws
22%
Citta di Fasano
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Francavilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Citta di Fasano lately — more wins on the board than Francavilla.
  • Francavilla are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Coppa Italia Serie D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Francavilla Clean Sheet 18%
Citta di Fasano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Francavilla Citta di Fasano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Citta di Fasano
0:2
Nov 19, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Francavilla vs Citta di Fasano
3:2
Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Citta di Fasano vs Francavilla
3:2
Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Citta di Fasano
2:0
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Citta di Fasano vs Francavilla
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Francavilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Croce A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ciaramella A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Citta di Fasano Compare

Top Goalscorer De Angelis P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barranco B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Francavilla 49 / 100
Citta di Fasano 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Francavilla Citta di Fasano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Francavilla remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Francavilla's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Citta di Fasano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Francavilla VS Citta di Fasano
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Asti Calcio2
Chisola0
Ligorna1
NovaRomentin2
Vado3
Sestri Levante0
Tau1
Pistoiese3
Piacenza2
SCD Progresso1
Pavia2
Sant'Angelo0
Prato2
Montevarchi1
Correggese2
Imolese1
Sondrio1
Breno0
Folgore Caratese2
Club Milano3
AC Milan U232
Varesina3
Brusaporto0
Ciserano-Bergamo1
Chievo0
Rovato Vertovese1
Este3
Vigasio2
Cjarlins Muzane1
Brian Lignano2
Luparense FC0
Mestre1
Fossombrone0
Ancona1
Foligno0
Atletico Ascoli2
Orvietana2
Siena0
Follonica Gavorrano0
Valmontone1
Notaresco Calcio2
Termoli0
Albalonga2
Aquila Calcio1
Grosseto0
Unipomezia1
Trastevere Calcio2
Budoni Calcio0
Martina Calcio3
Sarnese1
Ferrandina2
Francavilla3
A.C. Savoia2
Paganese1
Citta di Fasano3
Gravina0
Nocerina4
Gelbison2
Sambiase0
Reggina1
Castrumfavara3
Igea Virtus1
Enna0
Sancataldese2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio3
NovaRomentin2
Vado0
Pistoiese3
Piacenza2
Pavia1
Prato1
Correggese4
Sondrio0
Club Milano3
Varesina4
Ciserano-Bergamo1
Rovato Vertovese1
Este3
Brian Lignano0
Mestre1
Ancona1
Atletico Ascoli0
Orvietana0
Valmontone1
Notaresco Calcio2
Albalonga1
Unipomezia3
Trastevere Calcio1
Martina Calcio1
Francavilla2
A.C. Savoia3
Citta di Fasano4
Nocerina3
Reggina2
Castrumfavara3
Sancataldese2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio1
Pistoiese3
Piacenza0
Correggese1
Club Milano1
Varesina0
Este1
Mestre2
Ancona2
Valmontone1
Notaresco Calcio0
Unipomezia1
Francavilla3
Citta di Fasano2
Nocerina2
Castrumfavara0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese2
Correggese0
Club Milano1
Mestre0
Ancona2
Unipomezia1
Francavilla1
Nocerina0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese3
Club Milano1
Ancona2
Francavilla1
Final
Pistoiese3
Ancona0