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Francavilla vs Lavello - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
De Marco M.
85' Event
Gentile C.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 game between Francavilla and Lavello finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Francavilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Francavilla
15%
Draws
85%
Lavello
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lavello

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Lavello haven't matched Francavilla's recent run of results.
  • Francavilla are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Francavilla have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Francavilla Clean Sheet 18%
Lavello Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Francavilla Lavello
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.19 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.06 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Lavello
2:0
Dec 11, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Lavello vs Francavilla
0:2
Nov 2, 2022 Coppa Italia Serie D
Francavilla vs Lavello
1:0
May 8, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Lavello vs Francavilla
1:3
Dec 19, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Lavello
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Francavilla Compare

Top Goalscorer De Marco M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gentile C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Lavello Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Francavilla 40 / 100
Lavello 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Francavilla Lavello

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Francavilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lavello has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Francavilla's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Lavello has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Francavilla VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Francavilla

(Home)
04 Oct
Martina Calcio
1 : 0
Francavilla
27 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Brindisi
20 Sept
Melfi
2 : 1
Francavilla
16 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Palmese 1914
13 Sept
Bisceglie
2 : 1
Francavilla
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Lavello

(Away)
07 May
Gravina
3 : 1
Lavello
30 Apr
Lavello
4 : 3
Puteolana Internapoli
23 Apr
Francavilla
2 : 0
Lavello
16 Apr
Lavello
1 : 3
Matera
06 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 1
Lavello
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brindisi 34 20 9 5 59:27 69
2 Cavese 34 20 9 5 66:35 69
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 18 11 5 51:26 65
4 Barletta 34 17 13 4 42:29 64
5 Casarano 34 13 18 3 46:32 57
6 Altamura 34 15 11 8 51:37 56
7 Matera 34 13 11 10 53:46 50
8 Martina Calcio 34 11 12 11 40:43 45
9 Citta di Fasano 34 11 11 12 43:43 44
10 Bitonto 34 11 10 13 45:51 43
11 Afragolese 34 8 15 11 41:45 39
12 San Felice Gladiator 34 8 13 13 42:55 37
13 Nocerina 34 9 9 16 40:51 36
14 Gravina 34 7 15 12 29:41 36
15 Molfetta Calcio 34 7 11 16 40:50 32
16 Francavilla 34 7 9 18 38:51 30
17 Lavello 34 7 5 22 31:68 26
18 Puteolana Internapoli 34 3 10 21 32:59 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Out)