Sport Picks
Francavilla vs Martina Calcio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 
Match Events
34'
34'
Skoric M.
43'
43'
Zenelaj E.
52'
52'
Mastrovito M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 game between Francavilla and Martina Calcio finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Martina Calcio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Martina Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Francavilla haven't matched Martina Calcio's recent run of results.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Martina Calcio taking it.
- Regular Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Martina Calcio have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Francavilla Clean Sheet 18%
Martina Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Francavilla | Martina Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs Francavilla
1:0
Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Francavilla vs Martina Calcio
1:2
Oct 22, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Francavilla vs Martina Calcio
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs Francavilla
1:0
Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Martina Calcio vs Francavilla
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Francavilla Compare
Top Goalscorer Skoric M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Martina Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Zenelaj E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mastrovito M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Francavilla 10 / 100
Martina Calcio 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Francavilla Martina Calcio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Martina Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Francavilla found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Martina Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.
Martina Calcio lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Francavilla VS Martina Calcio
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Francavilla
(Home) 04 Oct
Martina Calcio
1 : 0 Francavilla
27 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1 Brindisi
20 Sept
Melfi
2 : 1 Francavilla
16 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1 Palmese 1914
13 Sept
Bisceglie
2 : 1 Francavilla
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1 Brindisi
16 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1 Palmese 1914
06 Sept
Francavilla
1 : 0 Ischia
03 May
Francavilla
2 : 0 Afragolese
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1 Acerrana
Page 1 of 3
Martina Calcio
(Away) 04 Oct
Martina Calcio
1 : 0 Francavilla
27 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 3 Martina Calcio
20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
16 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 2 Martina Calcio
13 Sept
Martina Calcio
2 : 0 Real Forio 2014
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 3 Martina Calcio
16 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 2 Martina Calcio
06 Sept
Turris
4 : 3 Martina Calcio
03 May
SS Nola 1925
2 : 1 Martina Calcio
19 Apr
Citta di Fasano
1 : 0 Martina Calcio
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barletta | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 54:20 | 70 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 62 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51:35 | 62 |
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36:32 | 58 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 40:27 | 55 |
| 6 | Gravina | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:40 | 55 |
| 7 | Afragolese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:38 | 43 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 34:39 | 43 |
| 13 | Sarnese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 51:49 | 41 |
| 14 | SS Nola 1925 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:50 | 41 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Pompei | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 26:38 | 34 |
| 17 | Ferrandina | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 21:43 | 30 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20:74 | 14 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)
